{"source":"polymarket","id":"503188","ticker":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","slug":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T20:49:58.335917Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18255.856095000003,"volume_24hr":2541.490509,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.65501594543457,"normalized_volume":21.99656105041504,"liquidity":11644.0952,"open_interest":13099.938957,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104996","slug":"jose-luis-rodriguez-zapatero","label":"José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero"},{"id":"1382","slug":"spain","label":"Spain"},{"id":"104995","slug":"zapatero","label":"Zapatero"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.014999999999999986,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":229.03742899999952,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.461430Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.461430Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T20:53:41.921175Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","chart_24h":[2312.4530800000007,2694.8300020000006,2701.307731000001,2578.00668,2566.6925040000006,3277.7775040000006,3297.7675040000004,3430.1578470000004,2187.208536,2187.208536,2650.088536,2650.088536,2765.088536,2749.772748,2856.442748,2856.442748,2856.442748,2856.442748,2816.442748,2816.442748,2816.442748,2816.442748,2811.680845,2622.950355,2622.950355,2640.341658,2640.341658,2662.080787,2657.080787,2657.080787,2716.750053,2716.750053,2716.750053,2718.400053,2541.490509],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2305408","event_id":"503188","slug":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","question":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T20:45:45.364199Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18255.856095000003,"volume_24hr":2541.490509,"prob_24h_change":-0.014999999999999986,"volume_24h_change":229.03742899999952,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.03607749938965,"normalized_volume":28.24811553955078,"liquidity":11566.5654,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:41:59.705657Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:26:47.602241Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T20:53:41.964994Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","event_title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.205,0.25,0.25,0.275,0.285,0.275,0.265,0.285,0.295,0.255,0.245,0.26,0.235,0.23,0.225,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.215,0.215,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.205,0.205,0.19,0.19,0.19]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/503188","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:04:05.709262Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}