{"source":"polymarket","id":"503188","ticker":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","slug":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T20:45:45.364199Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":53219.93121200003,"volume_24hr":306.647036,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.199450492858887,"normalized_volume":24.053773880004883,"liquidity":9962.9596,"open_interest":675.374795,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104996","slug":"jose-luis-rodriguez-zapatero","label":"José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero"},{"id":"1382","slug":"spain","label":"Spain"},{"id":"104995","slug":"zapatero","label":"Zapatero"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.14,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-853.7010929999999,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:03:34.582302Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T22:03:34.582302Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T20:53:41.921175Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","chart_24h":[1160.348129,1160.348129,1160.348129,1160.348129,1160.348129,1170.848129,1170.848129,1170.848129,1170.848129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1195.338129,1218.9136279999998,1218.9136279999998,1218.9136279999998,1343.533628,920.297036,659.367036,311.997036,311.997036,421.987036,421.987036,371.987036,371.987036,371.987036,371.987036,371.987036,371.987036,306.647036,306.647036],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2724247","event_id":"503188","slug":"will-jose-luis-rodriguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-december-31-2026-20260628222238877","question":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-28T22:25:33.775979Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2063.005611,"volume_24hr":306.647036,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-853.7010929999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.199450492858887,"normalized_volume":16.176925659179688,"liquidity":9608.1359,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain","Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T21:35:01.873066Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T21:14:14.968900Z","added_at":"2026-06-28T22:29:48.248874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30/will-jose-luis-rodriguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-december-31-2026-20260628222238877","event_title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.17,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.325,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.285,0.305,0.32,0.225,0.245,0.245,0.24,0.27,0.205,0.19,0.195,0.195,0.135,0.135,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2305408","event_id":"503188","slug":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","question":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-19T20:45:45.364199Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T21:28:52Z","volume":51156.92560100003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.6472053527832,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T21:41:21.172954Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:36:37.527063Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T20:53:41.964994Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","event_title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/503188","as_of":"2026-07-22T22:06:14.690869Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?\" — top market at 14% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}