{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/503188","as_of":"2026-10-24T10:07:39.875502Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?\" — 2 markets; highest \"December 31, 2026\" at 6% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/503188","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30"},"source":"polymarket","id":"503188","ticker":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","slug":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T20:45:45.364199Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":58264.87838600003,"volume_24hr":369.314703,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.787464141845703,"normalized_volume":27.33535385131836,"liquidity":11164.81352,"open_interest":1431.180356,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104996","slug":"jose-luis-rodriguez-zapatero","label":"José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero"},{"id":"1382","slug":"spain","label":"Spain"},{"id":"104995","slug":"zapatero","label":"Zapatero"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.0575,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":248.040817,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:34.592458Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:34.592458Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T20:53:41.921175Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","chart_24h":[10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,26.0,26.0,26.0,26.0,26.0,26.0,26.0,26.0,26.0,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817,258.040817],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2724247","event_id":"503188","slug":"will-jose-luis-rodriguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-december-31-2026-20260628222238877","question":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0575,0.9425],"probability":0.0575,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-28T22:25:33.775979Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":7107.952785000001,"volume_24hr":369.314703,"prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":248.040817,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.227313995361328,"normalized_volume":22.99650764465332,"liquidity":11164.81352,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain","Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:35.070568Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:35.070568Z","added_at":"2026-06-28T22:29:48.248874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30/will-jose-luis-rodriguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-december-31-2026-20260628222238877","event_title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.0525,0.0515,0.0515,0.0515,0.0405,0.0505,0.049,0.047,0.055,0.0595,0.057,0.055,0.061,0.0535,0.0545,0.058,0.059,0.054,0.062,0.0535]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2305408","event_id":"503188","slug":"will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","question":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-sentenced-to-prison-iafKFYZZDo2V.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-19T20:45:45.364199Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T21:28:52Z","result":"no","volume":51156.92560100003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.4921989440918,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T21:41:21.172954Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:36:37.527063Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T20:53:41.964994Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30/will-jos-luis-rodrguez-zapatero-be-arrested-by-june-30","event_title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?","chart_24h":null}]}