{"source":"polymarket","id":"503398","ticker":"ny-21-republican-primary-winner","slug":"ny-21-republican-primary-winner","title":"NY-21 Republican Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ny-12-sL9s2x0LnsR1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ny-12-sL9s2x0LnsR1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T15:39:36.488934Z","end_date":"2026-06-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2811.416943,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.848605155944824,"liquidity":19092.5865,"open_interest":664.111557,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"936","slug":"democratic-primary","label":"Democratic Primary"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"103964","slug":"new-york-primary","label":"New York Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthony Constantino","top_outcome_probability":0.805,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:43:22.069989Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:43:22.069989Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T15:35:57.761589Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ny-21-republican-primary-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2306035","event_id":"503398","slug":"will-anthony-constantino-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ny-21","question":"Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?","group_item_title":"Anthony Constantino","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/state_flags/NY.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/state_flags/NY.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.805,0.195],"probability":0.805,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T15:32:01.138442Z","end_date":"2026-06-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1687.9191680000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.167603492736816,"liquidity":7484.8711,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:01:09.700450Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T01:54:47.025255Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T15:35:57.832380Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ny-21-republican-primary-winner/will-anthony-constantino-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ny-21","event_title":"NY-21 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.805,0.805]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2306036","event_id":"503398","slug":"will-robert-smullen-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ny-21","question":"Will Robert Smullen be the Republican nominee for NY-21?","group_item_title":"Robert Smullen","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/state_flags/NY.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/state_flags/NY.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T15:32:04.898353Z","end_date":"2026-06-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1123.497775,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.65922737121582,"liquidity":11533.988,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:44:46.278897Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:43:17.941235Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T15:35:57.832380Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ny-21-republican-primary-winner/will-robert-smullen-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ny-21","event_title":"NY-21 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.18,0.185,0.18,0.185,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2306047","event_id":"503398","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ny-21","question":"Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for NY-21?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/state_flags/NY.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/state_flags/NY.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T15:32:59.326766Z","end_date":"2026-06-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T09:15:57.829054Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-20T15:35:57.832380Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T15:35:57.832380Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ny-21-republican-primary-winner/will-another-candidate-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ny-21","event_title":"NY-21 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/503398","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:54:41.113503Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"NY-21 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 80% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}