{"source":"polymarket","id":"504099","ticker":"iran-ceasefire-continues-through","slug":"iran-ceasefire-continues-through","title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:28:14.372598Z","end_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37661074.54532805,"volume_24hr":12969500.94840501,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":94.483154296875,"normalized_volume":69.52043914794922,"liquidity":426172.3543,"open_interest":3092379.8415350006,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"May 24","top_outcome_probability":0.977,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.022500000000000075,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3678620.7257440104,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.461430Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.461430Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.184722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through","chart_24h":[4053235.781074997,3974214.7165049976,3989440.1230259975,4166813.511413995,4006865.495752996,3872159.1537149954,3837247.7758049965,3910467.0303479964,4191661.3916189964,5461967.702868996,6063608.405014998,7992609.813391998,8965449.662565,10528567.363332001,11453759.745549005,11837896.408705005,12034445.697799003,12759719.309574004,12825202.010632005,12978641.501552003,13147358.885467004,13137323.043030005,13139230.174834007,13221210.603747008,12988643.152842008,12990338.441405008,13006667.025154006,12930018.955334006,12905758.198770005,12970295.883641006,13006484.392465005,12873683.356687006,13033313.832826007,13002181.17144701,12969500.94840501],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308197","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-24-733","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?","group_item_title":"May 24","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.977,0.023],"probability":0.977,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:22:53.683000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":11641808.168813087,"volume_24hr":5788737.856030007,"prob_24h_change":-0.022500000000000075,"volume_24h_change":3678620.7257440104,"normalized_vol_24hr":94.7956771850586,"normalized_volume":77.66571807861328,"liquidity":420679.82484,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-24-733","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.9995,0.9995,0.9995,0.9995,0.9995,0.9995,0.9995,0.9995,0.9995,0.991,0.9435,0.9495,0.981,0.9885,0.9895,0.983,0.9875,0.9885,0.984,0.973,0.9725,0.9625,0.9535,0.9665,0.9655,0.9745,0.9765,0.963,0.966,0.965,0.9645,0.9655,0.9795,0.9755,0.977]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308198","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-27-496","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?","group_item_title":"May 27","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.004,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:23:28.584000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:34:10Z","volume":1241991.2771669987,"volume_24hr":529449.2061869998,"prob_24h_change":-0.965,"volume_24h_change":378531.1710859998,"normalized_vol_24hr":67.91033935546875,"normalized_volume":57.769874572753906,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-27-496","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.965,0.9685,0.98,0.972,0.9745,0.9595,0.9565,0.9395,0.89,0.8595,0.059,0.024,0.025,0.0035,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308200","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-31-654-633","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.005,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:22:39.524000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:30:40Z","volume":2166168.0901229987,"volume_24hr":851366.6682000008,"prob_24h_change":-0.925,"volume_24h_change":498625.13303800084,"normalized_vol_24hr":72.89366149902344,"normalized_volume":62.440696716308594,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-31-654-633","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.925,0.935,0.945,0.935,0.935,0.925,0.925,0.885,0.835,0.815,0.15,0.0205,0.0155,0.0045,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308201","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-7-849","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?","group_item_title":"June 7","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.003,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:22:34.330000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:30:40Z","volume":367775.85909600015,"volume_24hr":191272.62428,"prob_24h_change":-0.875,"volume_24h_change":123140.186813,"normalized_vol_24hr":57.8233528137207,"normalized_volume":48.183807373046875,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-7-849","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.875,0.895,0.9,0.89,0.895,0.875,0.875,0.845,0.785,0.74,0.025,0.0125,0.014,0.0045,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308202","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-15-136-565","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?","group_item_title":"June 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.012,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:23:58.273000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:30:40Z","volume":391788.94899999973,"volume_24hr":173074.79054599995,"prob_24h_change":-0.855,"volume_24h_change":122082.69848799995,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.87656784057617,"normalized_volume":48.66060256958008,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-15-136-565","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.855,0.855,0.855,0.865,0.845,0.835,0.855,0.825,0.75,0.765,0.055,0.021,0.016,0.009,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308203","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-30-529-427","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.012,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:22:37.706000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:28:27Z","volume":300055.4086359996,"volume_24hr":117992.81130199997,"prob_24h_change":-0.795,"volume_24h_change":78072.78689799996,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.32091522216797,"normalized_volume":46.66564178466797,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-30-529-427","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.795,0.795,0.815,0.815,0.745,0.755,0.76,0.725,0.675,0.715,0.095,0.0165,0.018,0.005,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308204","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-july-31-157-645","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.013,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:22:51.620000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:28:27Z","volume":144584.49579100017,"volume_24hr":79064.72611900001,"prob_24h_change":-0.725,"volume_24h_change":68764.28899100001,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.72773742675781,"normalized_volume":41.41903305053711,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-july-31-157-645","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.725,0.725,0.735,0.735,0.645,0.665,0.685,0.68,0.64,0.515,0.1,0.0225,0.0135,0.005,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308205","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-december-31-395-943","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:22:36.389000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:27:20Z","volume":363367.9782249999,"volume_24hr":157552.39374,"prob_24h_change":-0.625,"volume_24h_change":137341.82808900002,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.99382400512695,"normalized_volume":48.09318161010742,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:42:19.611805Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:26:47.602241Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-december-31-395-943","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.625,0.615,0.615,0.615,0.615,0.615,0.615,0.605,0.565,0.47,0.065,0.008,0.014,0.0055,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2334097","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-25","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?","group_item_title":"May 25","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:55:29.041084Z","end_date":"2026-05-25T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-26T03:17:32Z","volume":5013203.73867499,"volume_24hr":3882926.249476,"prob_24h_change":-0.9945,"volume_24h_change":3133593.0921689994,"normalized_vol_24hr":89.99600219726562,"normalized_volume":69.83033752441406,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:30:29.199092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-25","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.9945,0.9955,0.9945,0.9935,0.9935,0.99,0.9915,0.9715,0.9135,0.8485,0.017,0.0185,0.035,0.0085,0.0045,0.0035,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2334098","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-26","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?","group_item_title":"May 26","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.005,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:55:30.825584Z","end_date":"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:31:48Z","volume":1062433.1638,"volume_24hr":747060.6145769997,"prob_24h_change":-0.9845,"volume_24h_change":565409.4044499997,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.50492095947266,"normalized_volume":56.49127197265625,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:14.636652Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:30:29.199092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-26","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.9845,0.986,0.9855,0.9835,0.984,0.9675,0.9655,0.9405,0.8945,0.8465,0.024,0.0135,0.0305,0.0055,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2334099","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-28","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?","group_item_title":"May 28","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:55:26.172492Z","end_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-26T01:30:40Z","volume":621269.5375009992,"volume_24hr":409250.59767999983,"prob_24h_change":-0.9565,"volume_24h_change":291872.02152299986,"normalized_vol_24hr":65.28253936767578,"normalized_volume":52.20699691772461,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:42:19.611805Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:26:47.602241Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:30:29.199092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-28","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[0.9565,0.9565,0.9685,0.9625,0.9615,0.956,0.953,0.9135,0.895,0.839,0.07,0.0215,0.0185,0.005,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308194","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-20","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?","group_item_title":"May 20","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:23:10.465326Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-22T06:17:41Z","volume":507173.5936950005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.63080596923828,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-23T06:26:23.837424Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T05:53:56.100623Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-20","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308195","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-21","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?","group_item_title":"May 21","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:22:36.649574Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-23T06:12:15Z","volume":1343114.0963930092,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":58.416175842285156,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-24T06:28:58.582976Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-24T06:28:03.994317Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-21","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2308196","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-22","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?","group_item_title":"May 22","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-20T03:22:53.427586Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-05-24T06:11:51Z","volume":9281356.548808977,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":75.51747131347656,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-25T06:17:16.101925Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T06:02:11.499159Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T03:37:49.204673Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-22","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2334096","event_id":"504099","slug":"will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-23","question":"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?","group_item_title":"May 23","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Iran Peace-2da5a9033d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:55:27.227919Z","end_date":"2026-05-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-25T06:09:15Z","volume":3224533.7693169867,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":65.89265441894531,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T06:13:36.163636Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T05:58:44.680747Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:30:29.199092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-23","event_title":"Iran ceasefire continues through...?","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/504099","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:06:38.503605Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Iran ceasefire continues through...?\" — top market at 98% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}