{"source":"polymarket","id":"507741","ticker":"how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25","slug":"how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25","title":"How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 25, 2026, through June 1, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which data is released for the final date in that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if data has not been released for any day in the specified period within 14 calendar days of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which data is released for the final date in the specified period to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:58:04.873756Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6964.007931,"volume_24hr":5155.04659,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.73642349243164,"normalized_volume":17.888254165649414,"liquidity":36355.8643,"open_interest":3057.179191,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"103160","slug":"rewards-50-4pt5-20","label":"Rewards 50, 4.5, 20"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104134","slug":"tanker","label":"tanker"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25-49","top_outcome_probability":0.25,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1210.49025,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:25.530876Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:25.530876Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:44:33.558545Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25","chart_24h":[1009.798522,1054.578522,1161.048522,1075.094522,1069.204522,1064.644522,1064.644522,1097.350122,1097.350122,1152.9901220000002,1144.580122,1210.813235,1198.534662,1132.6646620000001,889.934662,933.011584,957.011584,1135.496085,1472.244753,1747.800307,2301.147151,3301.127151,3326.127151,3642.127151,3638.574747,3638.574747,4247.22959,4234.254915,4188.284915,4962.724915,4962.724915,5020.9126670000005,5017.54659,5095.26659,5155.04659],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2316335","event_id":"507741","slug":"will-25-49-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","question":"Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","group_item_title":"25-49","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 25, 2026, through June 1, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which data is released for the final date in that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if data has not been released for any day in the specified period within 14 calendar days of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which data is released for the final date in the specified period to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:39:45.099604Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1899.835875,"volume_24hr":1521.42765,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":1210.49025,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.99471664428711,"normalized_volume":16.72429084777832,"liquidity":3470.8851,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:25.664531Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:44:33.640204Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25/will-25-49-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","event_title":"How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?","chart_24h":[0.225,0.205,0.225,0.225,0.23,0.225,0.22,0.24,0.235,0.235,0.24,0.15,0.2,0.225,0.23,0.255,0.215,0.165,0.29,0.335,0.27,0.265,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.255,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2316336","event_id":"507741","slug":"will-50-74-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","question":"Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","group_item_title":"50-74","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 25, 2026, through June 1, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which data is released for the final date in that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if data has not been released for any day in the specified period within 14 calendar days of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which data is released for the final date in the specified period to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:39:04.984232Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":770.421824,"volume_24hr":487.42483,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":418.107943,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.985784530639648,"normalized_volume":12.96764087677002,"liquidity":3221.6088,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:25.664531Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:44:33.640204Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25/will-50-74-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","event_title":"How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.235,0.245,0.245,0.25,0.255,0.255,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.275,0.24,0.245,0.21,0.245,0.295,0.21,0.265,0.235,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2316334","event_id":"507741","slug":"will-fewer-than-25-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","question":"Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","group_item_title":"<25","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 25, 2026, through June 1, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which data is released for the final date in that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if data has not been released for any day in the specified period within 14 calendar days of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which data is released for the final date in the specified period to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:39:47.068085Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2251.4350280000003,"volume_24hr":1736.199068,"prob_24h_change":0.085,"volume_24h_change":1616.461912,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.7576961517334,"normalized_volume":17.484636306762695,"liquidity":8396.6541,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:25.664531Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:44:33.640204Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25/will-fewer-than-25-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","event_title":"How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?","chart_24h":[0.115,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.095,0.125,0.135,0.11,0.125,0.11,0.195,0.125,0.175,0.175,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.21,0.205,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.205,0.2]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2316338","event_id":"507741","slug":"will-100-or-more-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","question":"Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","group_item_title":"100+","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 25, 2026, through June 1, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which data is released for the final date in that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if data has not been released for any day in the specified period within 14 calendar days of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which data is released for the final date in the specified period to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:38:58.090909Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1528.1239319999997,"volume_24hr":968.698954,"prob_24h_change":-0.035,"volume_24h_change":476.82187499999986,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.4896240234375,"normalized_volume":15.77416706085205,"liquidity":9300.0954,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:25.664531Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:44:33.640204Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25/will-100-or-more-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","event_title":"How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.255,0.23,0.235,0.23,0.23,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.23,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.215,0.3,0.3,0.275,0.22,0.225,0.225,0.255,0.235,0.235,0.23,0.22,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2316337","event_id":"507741","slug":"will-75-99-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","question":"Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","group_item_title":"75-99","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 25, 2026, through June 1, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which data is released for the final date in that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if data has not been released for any day in the specified period within 14 calendar days of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which data is released for the final date in the specified period to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:39:17.658667Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1100.422279,"volume_24hr":1027.527095,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":964.8170949999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.80768585205078,"normalized_volume":14.394109725952148,"liquidity":9194.8754,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:25.664531Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:44:33.640204Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25/will-75-99-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1","event_title":"How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.185,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.2,0.265,0.195,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.195,0.185,0.18,0.165,0.21,0.21,0.145,0.13,0.075,0.16,0.16,0.145,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.095,0.095,0.13]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/507741","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:06:37.942550Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?\" — top market at 20% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}