{"source":"polymarket","id":"508139","ticker":"makerfield-by-election-2nd-place","slug":"makerfield-by-election-2nd-place","title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:55:26.961052Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2658.8266470000003,"volume_24hr":1282.877775,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.883859634399414,"normalized_volume":14.168525695800781,"liquidity":56809.98945,"open_interest":2032.48297,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"734","slug":"uk","label":"UK"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101319","slug":"starmer","label":"Starmer"},{"id":"104846","slug":"uk-elections","label":"UK Elections"},{"id":"104999","slug":"makerfield","label":"Makerfield"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Robert Kenyon","top_outcome_probability":0.645,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-6.623867000000004,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T08:41:30.587467Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T08:41:30.587467Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.518236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place","chart_24h":[341.566218,341.566218,341.566218,341.566218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,331.586218,76.803867,148.803867,99.533867,93.394416,93.394416,100.695787,100.695787,100.695787,100.695787,94.315787,1107.86023,1107.86023,1107.86023,1107.86023,1107.86023,1107.86023,1107.86023,1107.86023,1114.544443,1282.877775],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317678","event_id":"508139","slug":"will-robert-kenyon-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","question":"Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","group_item_title":"Robert Kenyon","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.645,0.355],"probability":0.645,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:46:16.342836Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":114.05092400000001,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":-6.623867000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.678132057189941,"normalized_volume":6.606770992279053,"liquidity":2592.1116,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T07:32:39.798671Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T07:31:27.373984Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place/will-robert-kenyon-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","event_title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.72,0.72,0.72,0.725,0.71,0.715,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.685,0.68,0.675,0.665,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.705,0.71,0.675,0.715,0.705,0.675,0.69,0.685,0.675,0.685,0.69,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.65,0.655,0.645]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317677","event_id":"508139","slug":"will-andy-burnham-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","question":"Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","group_item_title":"Andy Burnham","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:46:10.402386Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":87.596665,"volume_24hr":38.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":37.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.324540615081787,"normalized_volume":5.899261474609375,"liquidity":3992.0509,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T08:28:29.671233Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T08:27:30.724687Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place/will-andy-burnham-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","event_title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.24,0.235,0.235,0.25,0.235,0.235,0.245,0.245,0.24,0.245,0.26,0.25,0.255,0.255,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.255,0.26,0.265,0.26,0.265,0.255,0.245,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.225,0.225,0.235,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317683","event_id":"508139","slug":"will-rebecca-shepherd-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","question":"Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","group_item_title":"Rebecca Shepherd","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:46:31.529386Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1729.5134580000001,"volume_24hr":1073.877775,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":775.975424,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.327749252319336,"normalized_volume":16.310985565185547,"liquidity":20750.2519,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T08:14:48.500060Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T08:13:37.447597Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place/will-rebecca-shepherd-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","event_title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.095,0.085,0.09,0.095,0.085,0.09,0.095,0.085,0.095,0.095,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.08,0.075,0.075,0.1,0.115,0.115,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317679","event_id":"508139","slug":"will-simon-finkelstein-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","question":"Will Simon Finkelstein finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","group_item_title":"Simon Finkelstein","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:46:18.346580Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":205.582,"volume_24hr":51.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.024,"volume_24h_change":44.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.193594455718994,"normalized_volume":8.33712387084961,"liquidity":7166.06482,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T08:42:37.762167Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T08:41:30.713690Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place/will-simon-finkelstein-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","event_title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.041,0.007,0.007,0.019,0.029,0.0415,0.025,0.004,0.0045,0.0065,0.031,0.0065,0.023,0.023,0.037,0.0275,0.0175,0.008,0.0075,0.045,0.0375,0.0375,0.0375,0.0375,0.0375,0.007,0.0185,0.007,0.0235,0.0055,0.006,0.005,0.007,0.0085,0.0165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317680","event_id":"508139","slug":"will-john-skipworth-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","question":"Will John Skipworth finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","group_item_title":"John Skipworth","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0145,0.9855],"probability":0.0145,"spread":0.021,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:46:19.396126Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":158.192,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.678132057189941,"normalized_volume":7.541941165924072,"liquidity":5895.39583,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T04:31:52.635964Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T04:30:42.630063Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place/will-john-skipworth-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","event_title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317682","event_id":"508139","slug":"will-james-thomas-bryer-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","question":"Will James Thomas Bryer finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","group_item_title":"James Thomas Bryer","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0115,0.9885],"probability":0.0115,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:46:29.261848Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":189.1516,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.005500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.678132057189941,"normalized_volume":8.079906463623047,"liquidity":7042.64296,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T08:42:37.762167Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T08:41:30.713690Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place/will-james-thomas-bryer-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","event_title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.017,0.016,0.017,0.0165,0.017,0.0165,0.0165,0.0165,0.016,0.0165,0.017,0.016,0.017,0.0165,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.0165,0.011,0.016,0.017,0.0105,0.012,0.017,0.015,0.0115,0.01,0.0065,0.0095,0.0095,0.009,0.011,0.011,0.0065,0.0075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317681","event_id":"508139","slug":"will-maria-deery-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","question":"Will Maria Deery finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","group_item_title":"Maria Deery","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:46:26.257134Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":174.74,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":0.001,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.678132057189941,"normalized_volume":7.8390278816223145,"liquidity":7068.53071,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T08:42:37.762167Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T08:41:30.713690Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place/will-maria-deery-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","event_title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.003,0.004,0.0035,0.0035,0.004,0.004,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.003,0.003,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.003,0.0035,0.0035,0.004,0.0035,0.0035,0.003,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.003,0.0035,0.004,0.004,0.0035,0.004,0.0035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317709","event_id":"508139","slug":"will-another-candidate-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","question":"Will another candidate finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T17:48:40.232398Z","end_date":"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T23:57:28.330391Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T17:52:58.594517Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place/will-another-candidate-finish-second-in-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","event_title":"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/508139","as_of":"2026-05-28T08:47:14.017045Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place\" — top market at 15% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}