{"source":"polymarket","id":"511020","ticker":"ca-38-primary-winners","slug":"ca-38-primary-winners","title":"CA-38 Primary Winners","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T22:28:10.658867Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1762.645639,"volume_24hr":1232.333285,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.676193237304688,"normalized_volume":12.731959342956543,"liquidity":30164.8054,"open_interest":1431.885637,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"103935","slug":"california-primary","label":"California Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hilda Solis","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010499999999999954,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-255.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T06:18:10.161981Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T06:18:10.161981Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T22:31:56.349178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-38-primary-winners","chart_24h":[255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,255.0,975.21,1277.333285,1307.333285,1307.333285,1307.333285,1477.333285,1477.333285,1232.333285,1232.333285,1232.333285,1232.333285,1232.333285],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2325589","event_id":"511020","slug":"will-pedro-antonio-casas-advance-from-the-ca-38-primary-election","question":"Will Pedro Antonio Casas advance from the CA-38 primary election?","group_item_title":"Pedro Antonio Casas","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.835,0.165],"probability":0.835,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T22:21:31.508118Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":472.123285,"volume_24hr":472.123285,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":472.123285,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.832677841186523,"normalized_volume":11.130605697631836,"liquidity":11160.907,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T06:05:06.236207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T06:04:08.118892Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T22:31:56.383640Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-38-primary-winners/will-pedro-antonio-casas-advance-from-the-ca-38-primary-election","event_title":"CA-38 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.825,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.815,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.835,0.835]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2325591","event_id":"511020","slug":"will-monica-snchez-advance-from-the-ca-38-primary-election","question":"Will Monica Sánchez advance from the CA-38 primary election?","group_item_title":"Monica Sánchez","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T22:21:31.234177Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.6104817390441895,"normalized_volume":3.45975661277771,"liquidity":6152.8541,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T05:37:15.764515Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T05:36:21.244245Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T22:31:56.383640Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-38-primary-winners/will-monica-snchez-advance-from-the-ca-38-primary-election","event_title":"CA-38 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.3,0.29,0.285,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.305,0.28,0.305,0.335,0.315,0.315,0.345,0.315,0.335,0.28,0.285,0.255,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.245,0.21,0.185,0.19,0.175,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2325590","event_id":"511020","slug":"will-erik-lutz-advance-from-the-ca-38-primary-election","question":"Will Erik Lutz advance from the CA-38 primary election?","group_item_title":"Erik Lutz","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T22:21:31.767024Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":776.322354,"volume_24hr":730.21,"prob_24h_change":-0.405,"volume_24h_change":730.21,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.00353240966797,"normalized_volume":12.997383117675781,"liquidity":11891.8744,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T05:45:33.549634Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T05:44:42.070051Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T22:31:56.383640Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-38-primary-winners/will-erik-lutz-advance-from-the-ca-38-primary-election","event_title":"CA-38 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.45,0.455,0.445,0.445,0.455,0.48,0.445,0.46,0.445,0.435,0.435,0.415,0.315,0.275,0.26,0.22,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.265,0.26,0.085,0.06,0.055,0.06,0.055,0.05,0.05,0.045,0.045,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2325592","event_id":"511020","slug":"will-hilda-solis-advance-from-the-ca-38-primary-election","question":"Will Hilda Solis advance from the CA-38 primary election?","group_item_title":"Hilda Solis","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 38th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.02],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T22:21:32.951352Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":484.2,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010499999999999954,"volume_24h_change":-255.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.22188949584961,"liquidity":843.58332,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T05:08:37.641029Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T05:07:29.587958Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T22:31:56.383640Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-38-primary-winners/will-hilda-solis-advance-from-the-ca-38-primary-election","event_title":"CA-38 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.9695,0.97,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.985,0.965,0.98,0.98,0.98]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/511020","as_of":"2026-05-28T06:25:09.687188Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"CA-38 Primary Winners\" — top market at 4% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}