{"source":"polymarket","id":"511096","ticker":"us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by","slug":"us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-763","title":"US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-Ipo7RGdT6e5j.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-Ipo7RGdT6e5j.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T17:18:08.489754Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13573.252849999952,"volume_24hr":2190.2047020000005,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.848926544189453,"normalized_volume":20.641807556152344,"liquidity":23972.5467,"open_interest":7059.07364,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"102868","slug":"cuba","label":"Cuba"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104161","slug":"castro","label":"Castro"},{"id":"104965","slug":"diaz-canel","label":"Diaz-Canel"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.48,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.06500000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-25.635353000000002,"updated_at":"2026-05-27T22:32:54.992750Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T22:32:54.992750Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T17:17:30.006260Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-763","chart_24h":[345.163337,345.163337,345.163337,345.163337,345.163337,345.163337,358.799698,358.799698,341.364541,327.644541,327.644541,55.004540999999996,48.186361,43.426361,43.426361,43.426361,43.426361,43.426361,43.426361,1496.2885330000001,1966.3485330000003,1988.2285330000002,1998.2285330000002,2036.4634280000002,2061.033428,2171.9234380000003,2171.9234380000003,2190.2047020000005],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2325710","event_id":"511096","slug":"us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-june-30-171","question":"US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-Ipo7RGdT6e5j.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-Ipo7RGdT6e5j.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T17:06:52.850801Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3647.5823509999987,"volume_24hr":42.087984,"prob_24h_change":-0.06500000000000006,"volume_24h_change":-25.635353000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.247087478637695,"normalized_volume":19.737751007080078,"liquidity":7172.1433,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T22:33:48.296002Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T22:32:55.125626Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T17:17:30.073144Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-763/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-june-30-171","event_title":"US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?","chart_24h":[0.545,0.525,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.525,0.52,0.525,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.535,0.535,0.545,0.53,0.535,0.53,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.555,0.56,0.515,0.57,0.55,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2325706","event_id":"511096","slug":"us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-265","question":"US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-Ipo7RGdT6e5j.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-Ipo7RGdT6e5j.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T17:06:48.851705Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9925.670498999953,"volume_24hr":2148.116718,"prob_24h_change":-0.04500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":1870.6767180000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.812358856201172,"normalized_volume":24.848787307739258,"liquidity":14079.8258,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T22:19:49.572171Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T21:51:32.949324Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T17:17:30.073144Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-763/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-265","event_title":"US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.13,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.095,0.165,0.135,0.14,0.125,0.12,0.11,0.095,0.09]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/511096","as_of":"2026-05-27T22:38:33.162565Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?\" — top market at 9% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}