{"source":"polymarket","id":"511125","ticker":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-177","slug":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-177","title":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T17:17:30.960751Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":72838.48678499984,"volume_24hr":41809.99746800002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.882713317871094,"normalized_volume":28.637845993041992,"liquidity":21584.9658,"open_interest":36171.28826,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104064","slug":"israel-x-iran","label":"Israel x Iran"},{"id":"849","slug":"lebanon","label":"Lebanon"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.79,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":26328.37941200001,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:40.817591Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:40.817591Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T17:17:30.006260Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-177","chart_24h":[15765.16191900001,16856.55237500001,17891.23402200001,17797.451814000015,18847.798640000008,20395.10120000001,21206.90231000001,21548.290958000005,21997.308028000007,21487.477063,21521.014784000003,22307.89856,26064.216209000006,26643.341921,26686.279176000004,27094.804694000002,27069.225120000003,27267.498626,30113.322728,31160.15365699999,31961.963354999993,32737.094535999993,34318.107204,35402.716992,38011.37567,36695.549897000004,37193.15558400001,37555.701818,36802.088682,36293.215098,35643.182926,34957.779756,36060.06289900001,37716.72086700002,41809.99746800002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2325745","event_id":"511125","slug":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-177","question":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.21],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T17:07:14.265543Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":73082.81496399983,"volume_24hr":42054.32564700002,"prob_24h_change":0.10000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":26328.37941200001,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.31647872924805,"normalized_volume":36.79889678955078,"liquidity":21059.7652,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:40.964299Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T17:17:30.073144Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-177/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-177","event_title":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?","chart_24h":[0.69,0.635,0.575,0.605,0.605,0.635,0.58,0.625,0.63,0.595,0.565,0.525,0.565,0.565,0.535,0.55,0.555,0.655,0.665,0.655,0.64,0.635,0.64,0.675,0.78,0.765,0.775,0.775,0.775,0.75,0.755,0.73,0.725,0.755,0.79]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/511125","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:21.261244Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?\" — top market at 79% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}