{"source":"polymarket","id":"514376","ticker":"iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15","slug":"iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15","title":"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nStatements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.\n\nAn agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.\n\nAgreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15-NNYedGgPdibA.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15-NNYedGgPdibA.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:47:13.995488Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4860.881877,"volume_24hr":1584.810316,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.126094818115234,"normalized_volume":16.46436882019043,"liquidity":11119.891,"open_interest":3384.977117,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.215,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07499999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-778.4300700000001,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:42.681219Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:42.681219Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:45:05.570014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15","chart_24h":[2032.108435,2038.4973220000002,2028.4973220000002,2028.4973220000002,2023.4973220000002,1993.4973220000002,1994.5073220000002,2713.9973220000006,2713.9973220000006,2713.9973220000006,2713.9973220000006,2716.5899130000003,2716.5899130000003,2716.5899130000003,2716.5899130000003,2716.5899130000003,2729.5715780000005,2739.2915780000003,2736.971578,2616.971578,2616.971578,2616.971578,2612.749357,2390.060897,2388.5457469999997,1248.579592,1220.008186,1220.008186,1251.2535699999999,1276.1366800000003,1404.2623370000003,1374.2623370000003,1421.385567,1449.705567,1584.810316],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2333553","event_id":"514376","slug":"iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15","question":"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nStatements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.\n\nAn agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.\n\nAgreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15-NNYedGgPdibA.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15-NNYedGgPdibA.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T21:37:32.086960Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4860.881877,"volume_24hr":1258.678365,"prob_24h_change":-0.07499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-778.4300700000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.9232120513916,"normalized_volume":21.143640518188477,"liquidity":11120.281,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:42.960992Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T21:45:05.604510Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15/iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15","event_title":"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?","chart_24h":[0.29,0.29,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.265,0.26,0.22,0.215,0.22,0.215,0.215,0.21,0.215,0.21,0.245,0.225,0.225,0.22,0.225,0.225,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.235,0.24,0.235,0.255,0.225,0.215,0.22,0.205,0.215,0.215]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/514376","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:56.469417Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?\" — top market at 22% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}