{"source":"polymarket","id":"514577","ticker":"texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets","slug":"texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets","title":"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)","description":"The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. 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Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ken-paxton-win-the-2026-republican-primary-VUklJjUUDQCq.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ken-paxton-win-the-2026-republican-primary-VUklJjUUDQCq.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:20:46.397933Z","end_date":"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":251.49524,"volume_24hr":74.54524,"prob_24h_change":-0.05500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":-46.45475999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.312235355377197,"normalized_volume":8.97670841217041,"liquidity":397.1589,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:41:59.705657Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:27:04.436435Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:27:06.795300Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets/will-ken-paxton-win-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff-by-between-0-and-5","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)","chart_24h":[0.135,0.13,0.115,0.125,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2334079","event_id":"514577","slug":"will-john-cornyn-win-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff","question":"Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?","group_item_title":"Cornyn Win","description":"The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-john-cornyn-win-the-2026-republican-primary-OC0aknfn6l8H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-john-cornyn-win-the-2026-republican-primary-OC0aknfn6l8H.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.034,0.966],"probability":0.034,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:21:17.746769Z","end_date":"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":170.017483,"volume_24hr":53.067483,"prob_24h_change":-0.006999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-12.932516999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.224842071533203,"normalized_volume":7.756624698638916,"liquidity":17703.97387,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:13:42.553591Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:12:38.058616Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:27:06.795300Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets/will-john-cornyn-win-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)","chart_24h":[0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.036,0.035,0.0345,0.034,0.0345,0.0345,0.0345,0.034,0.0345,0.0335,0.0345,0.0345,0.0345,0.0345,0.034,0.034]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2334072","event_id":"514577","slug":"will-ken-paxton-win-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff-by-30-or-more","question":"Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?","group_item_title":"Paxton 30%+","description":"The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ken-paxton-win-the-2026-republican-primary-VUklJjUUDQCq.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ken-paxton-win-the-2026-republican-primary-VUklJjUUDQCq.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0225,0.9775],"probability":0.0225,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:20:14.737835Z","end_date":"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4860.053086000001,"volume_24hr":2020.256387,"prob_24h_change":0.007999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-598.200146000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.65006446838379,"normalized_volume":21.142791748046875,"liquidity":30382.57418,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:44.705831Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:27:06.795300Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets/will-ken-paxton-win-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff-by-30-or-more","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)","chart_24h":[0.0145,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.0155,0.0155,0.0225,0.0225,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.022,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.022,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2334073","event_id":"514577","slug":"will-ken-paxton-win-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff-by-between-25-and-30","question":"Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?","group_item_title":"Paxton 25–30%","description":"The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ken-paxton-win-the-2026-republican-primary-VUklJjUUDQCq.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ken-paxton-win-the-2026-republican-primary-VUklJjUUDQCq.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0165,0.9835],"probability":0.0165,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:20:39.613901Z","end_date":"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3516.839065999999,"volume_24hr":1657.23,"prob_24h_change":0.006500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":19.590000000000146,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.487165451049805,"normalized_volume":19.56251335144043,"liquidity":7312.70386,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:59:34.673733Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T12:52:44.061154Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:27:06.795300Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets/will-ken-paxton-win-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff-by-between-25-and-30","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.0185,0.0185,0.0185,0.018,0.018,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.014,0.014,0.013,0.0135,0.0545,0.0165,0.0165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2334080","event_id":"514577","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff-955","question":"Will another outcome occur in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-22T22:21:19.786982Z","end_date":"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":494.09000000000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0024999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":-136.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.295235633850098,"liquidity":1044.19412,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:28.372819Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:44.705831Z","added_at":"2026-05-22T22:27:06.795300Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-texas-republican-senate-primary-runoff-955","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)","chart_24h":[0.0055,0.0045,0.0055,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.005,0.005,0.004,0.0055,0.005,0.003,0.005,0.004,0.004,0.0025,0.0025,0.004,0.005,0.0025,0.0025,0.005,0.004,0.004,0.005,0.0025,0.004,0.006,0.005,0.004,0.0025,0.0025,0.006,0.0025,0.003]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/514577","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:19.142036Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)\" — top market at 2% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}