{"source":"polymarket","id":"524355","ticker":"us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31","slug":"us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31","title":"US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-nuclear-deal-in-2025-3rpCC4Kl23Lc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-nuclear-deal-in-2025-3rpCC4Kl23Lc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T05:16:53.721760Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2314.8926189999997,"volume_24hr":2314.8926189999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.14246368408203,"normalized_volume":13.713311195373535,"liquidity":17608.4979,"open_interest":1717.140019,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.57,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2314.8926189999997,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:03.197301Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:03.197301Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T05:17:12.298389Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,181.724135,384.891435,522.6692099999999,522.6692099999999,1643.975544,1648.975544,1683.611716,1690.4298959999999,1690.4298959999999,1692.7026219999998,1692.7026219999998,2312.6226189999998,2314.8926189999997],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2355359","event_id":"524355","slug":"us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31","question":"US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-nuclear-deal-in-2025-3rpCC4Kl23Lc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-nuclear-deal-in-2025-3rpCC4Kl23Lc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T05:04:22.685769Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2314.8926189999997,"volume_24hr":2314.8926189999997,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":2314.8926189999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.467166900634766,"normalized_volume":17.610715866088867,"liquidity":17605.0979,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:13:42.553591Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:13:01.956439Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T05:17:12.320151Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31/us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31","event_title":"US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.545,0.535,0.415,0.545,0.545,0.535,0.66,0.57,0.585,0.58,0.58,0.57]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/524355","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:04:01.346529Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?\" — top market at 57% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}