{"source":"polymarket","id":"527653","ticker":"israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by","slug":"israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-475","title":"Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T19:57:06.856499Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1177.404334,"volume_24hr":1177.404334,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.394821166992188,"normalized_volume":11.403725624084473,"liquidity":28255.90338,"open_interest":1064.374334,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"297","slug":"hezbollah","label":"Hezbollah"},{"id":"849","slug":"lebanon","label":"Lebanon"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.125,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.375,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":821.326257,"updated_at":"2026-05-27T18:12:53.185150Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T18:12:53.185150Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T19:54:01.957537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-475","chart_24h":[0.0,52.631577,67.631577,102.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,127.803989,341.25048899999996,351.25048899999996,391.25048899999996,391.25048899999996,391.25048899999996,391.25048899999996,1177.404334,1177.404334,1177.404334,1177.404334,1177.404334],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2364305","event_id":"527653","slug":"israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-june-30","question":"Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T19:45:35.033901Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":821.326257,"volume_24hr":821.326257,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":821.326257,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.6922607421875,"normalized_volume":13.218124389648438,"liquidity":13004.318,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T16:36:27.727528Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T16:35:59.014874Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T19:54:01.969070Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-475/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-june-30","event_title":"Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.175,0.195,0.175,0.155,0.16,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.18,0.185,0.16,0.145,0.14,0.135,0.135,0.145,0.15,0.105,0.12,0.13,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2362740","event_id":"527653","slug":"israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-may-31","question":"Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T19:45:34.770403Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":356.0780770000001,"volume_24hr":356.07807699999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.46950000000000003,"volume_24h_change":356.07807699999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.80105972290039,"normalized_volume":10.136794090270996,"liquidity":13454.04469,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T14:27:17.138891Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T14:26:47.915301Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T19:54:01.969070Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-475/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-may-31","event_title":"Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.055,0.045,0.045,0.035,0.0345,0.0355,0.0305]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/527653","as_of":"2026-05-27T18:19:56.499992Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?\" — top market at 12% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}