{"source":"polymarket","id":"531266","ticker":"california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory","slug":"california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory","title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:49:50.030394Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3228.7034790000002,"volume_24hr":3101.463479,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.54720687866211,"normalized_volume":14.822150230407715,"liquidity":25019.23361,"open_interest":748.935411,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104184","slug":"rewards-200-4pt5-20","label":"rewards 200, 4.5, 20"},{"id":"100425","slug":"margin","label":"Margin"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100686","slug":"margin-of-victory","label":"Margin of Victory"},{"id":"103935","slug":"california-primary","label":"California Primary"},{"id":"100214","slug":"governor","label":"Governor Races"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"105180","slug":"june-2-primaries","label":"June 2 Primaries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Becerra 10%+","top_outcome_probability":0.255,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1018.1383770000001,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.487220Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.487220Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:43.972607Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory","chart_24h":[127.24,260.973073,260.973073,260.973073,319.173073,329.173073,329.173073,339.173073,339.173073,339.173073,241.933073,241.933073,387.84317300000004,387.84317300000004,467.84317300000004,467.84317300000004,467.84317300000004,467.84317300000004,1750.146391,1848.237112,1848.237112,1882.697112,1882.697112,1884.707112,1884.707112,1857.271631,1857.271631,1902.291631,1902.291631,1902.291631,1942.291631,2196.391631,2369.279905,2576.602052,3101.463479],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370893","event_id":"531266","slug":"will-xavier-becerra-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-more-than-10","question":"Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by more than 10%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 10%+","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:35:40.193516Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1018.1383770000001,"volume_24hr":1018.1383770000001,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1018.1383770000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.843871116638184,"normalized_volume":14.07675552368164,"liquidity":4356.9545,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.707656Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory/will-xavier-becerra-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-more-than-10","event_title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.285,0.23,0.23,0.255,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.305,0.3,0.265,0.27,0.275,0.295,0.285,0.27,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370894","event_id":"531266","slug":"will-xavier-becerra-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-510","question":"Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 5–10%","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:35:47.260267Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":729.486602,"volume_24hr":699.486602,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":669.486602,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.175060272216797,"normalized_volume":12.75580883026123,"liquidity":2710.4436,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.707656Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory/will-xavier-becerra-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-510","event_title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.27,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.26,0.245,0.23,0.225,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370898","event_id":"531266","slug":"will-steve-hilton-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election","question":"Will Steve Hilton win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?","group_item_title":"Hilton Wins","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:36:07.034920Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":561.02392,"volume_24hr":561.02392,"prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":427.290847,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.238118171691895,"normalized_volume":11.761630058288574,"liquidity":9671.7167,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T20:44:20.992878Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:43:05.884810Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory/will-steve-hilton-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election","event_title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.245,0.24,0.24,0.245,0.235,0.185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370895","event_id":"531266","slug":"will-xavier-becerra-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-less-than-5","question":"Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Becerra <5%","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:35:50.348191Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":442.78448000000003,"volume_24hr":442.78448,"prob_24h_change":-0.08499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":442.78448,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.268815994262695,"normalized_volume":10.900437355041504,"liquidity":485.4983,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:13:57.413271Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:12:50.425507Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory/will-xavier-becerra-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-less-than-5","event_title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.115,0.1,0.135,0.135,0.115,0.1,0.075,0.1,0.075,0.1,0.1,0.085,0.11,0.095,0.08,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370897","event_id":"531266","slug":"will-tom-steyer-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-less-than-5","question":"Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Steyer <5%","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:36:01.927906Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":165.0,"volume_24hr":165.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.045,"volume_24h_change":165.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.629518508911133,"normalized_volume":7.667041301727295,"liquidity":2440.8516,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T19:02:12.931858Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T19:01:04.190881Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory/will-tom-steyer-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-less-than-5","event_title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.095,0.075,0.085,0.09,0.095,0.095,0.085,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370899","event_id":"531266","slug":"will-chad-bianco-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election","question":"Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?","group_item_title":"Bianco Wins","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:36:12.356424Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":131.0,"volume_24hr":80.0,"prob_24h_change":0.006500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":29.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.376991271972656,"normalized_volume":6.994978904724121,"liquidity":2910.10407,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.707656Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory/will-chad-bianco-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election","event_title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.006,0.0065,0.0065,0.006,0.011,0.0215,0.0185,0.0175,0.0215,0.021]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370896","event_id":"531266","slug":"will-tom-steyer-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-more-than-5","question":"Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by more than 5%?","group_item_title":"Steyer 5%+","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:35:56.292704Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":181.2701,"volume_24hr":135.0301,"prob_24h_change":-0.002999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":88.7901,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.970371723175049,"normalized_volume":7.950077533721924,"liquidity":1505.55314,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.707656Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory/will-tom-steyer-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election-by-more-than-5","event_title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.021,0.0215,0.0205,0.0205,0.0215,0.021,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.033,0.033,0.034,0.033,0.0345,0.034,0.036,0.0285,0.0145,0.0125,0.0205,0.0155,0.018,0.0085,0.0195,0.017]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370900","event_id":"531266","slug":"will-another-candidate-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election","question":"Will another candidate win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. \n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:36:18.252344Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-29T23:10:18.538065Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:40:44.085236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory/will-another-candidate-win-the-2026-california-governor-primary-election","event_title":"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/531266","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:37:24.090077Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?\" — top market at 26% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}