{"source":"polymarket","id":"531495","ticker":"israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by","slug":"israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by","title":"Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T19:58:52.687461Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10653.55375000002,"volume_24hr":9116.356396999976,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.426454544067383,"normalized_volume":19.524635314941406,"liquidity":24432.9105,"open_interest":6713.423709000001,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"297","slug":"hezbollah","label":"Hezbollah"},{"id":"849","slug":"lebanon","label":"Lebanon"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 7","top_outcome_probability":0.245,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.065,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6622.626870999975,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.487220Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.487220Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T19:46:58.454458Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by","chart_24h":[1538.197353,1538.197353,1541.322353,1572.322353,1572.322353,1572.322353,1573.642353,1573.642353,1608.712353,1403.217853,1403.217853,1403.217853,1600.055219,1675.299632,1551.9263,1565.2063,1590.2063,1630.2063,2433.274767,2607.19071,2829.13489,2963.8315549999998,3095.725047,3343.8818869999996,3347.8818869999996,3728.963069,3618.683566,3677.6054599999998,3677.6054599999998,4233.900421,5642.899463000001,6013.619036999997,8855.543220999993,9095.040636999978,9116.356396999976],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2371628","event_id":"531495","slug":"israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-june-7","question":"Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?","group_item_title":"June 7","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T19:42:21.762833Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7295.827167000019,"volume_24hr":6959.227018999975,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":6622.626870999975,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.851987838745117,"normalized_volume":23.214488983154297,"liquidity":14306.1859,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:29:02.698519Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:38.707656Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T19:46:58.552711Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-june-7","event_title":"Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.255,0.24,0.24,0.265,0.27,0.265,0.27,0.23,0.215,0.195,0.195,0.2,0.19,0.215,0.23,0.23,0.235,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.415,0.37,0.37,0.305,0.205,0.305,0.3,0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2371627","event_id":"531495","slug":"israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31","question":"Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israeli-forces-enter-lebanon-by-mN30kvtnqkh_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T19:42:55.516884Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3399.0028839999986,"volume_24hr":2177.4056789999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":975.8084739999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.50954246520996,"normalized_volume":19.39960479736328,"liquidity":9936.0412,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:29:02.698519Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:12:50.425507Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T19:46:58.552711Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31","event_title":"Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.11,0.11,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.11,0.215,0.145,0.135,0.155,0.14,0.145,0.135,0.125,0.125,0.115,0.105,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.055,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/531495","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:40:10.397817Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?\" — top market at 24% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}