{"source":"polymarket","id":"531878","ticker":"rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner","slug":"rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner","title":"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner","description":"The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:59:48.369771Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26510.586316000037,"volume_24hr":25618.36426100001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.754608154296875,"normalized_volume":23.551774978637695,"liquidity":129269.04412,"open_interest":4278.855183999999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"104184","slug":"rewards-200-4pt5-20","label":"rewards 200, 4.5, 20"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Luciano Zucco","top_outcome_probability":0.475,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":11678.401499000007,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:43.091090Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:43.091090Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:54:58.157211Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner","chart_24h":[3146.969172,3426.649172,3454.832766,3454.832766,3425.432766,3425.432766,4535.442766,7953.176098,8095.426098,9334.066098,9374.066098,9374.066098,9197.426098,9197.426098,9197.426098,9197.426098,9194.484923,9170.964043,9147.478971999999,9147.478971999999,19578.206829,23323.835488000008,25033.44548800001,25625.91548800001,25625.91548800001,26074.525488000007,26074.525488000007,26047.97520100001,26014.06520100001,26014.06520100001,26017.768903000007,26017.768903000007,25878.168903000005,25810.368903000006,25618.36426100001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2373265","event_id":"531878","slug":"will-luciano-zucco-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-718","question":"Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?","group_item_title":"Luciano Zucco","description":"The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:43:12.236278Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12099.760569000035,"volume_24hr":11895.479394000007,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":11678.401499000007,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.0792179107666,"normalized_volume":25.929758071899414,"liquidity":36577.0079,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:29:02.698519Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:12:55.950545Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:54:58.255235Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner/will-luciano-zucco-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-718","event_title":"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.475,0.48,0.48,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.305,0.435,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2373262","event_id":"531878","slug":"will-juliana-brizola-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-467","question":"Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?","group_item_title":"Juliana Brizola","description":"The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.465,0.535],"probability":0.465,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:43:01.651562Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8698.689458000003,"volume_24hr":8380.469975000002,"prob_24h_change":0.09500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":8055.250492000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.949195861816406,"normalized_volume":24.141408920288086,"liquidity":36277.1306,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:29:02.698519Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:43.303607Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:54:58.255235Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner/will-juliana-brizola-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-467","event_title":"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.37,0.38,0.4,0.415,0.42,0.425,0.35,0.34,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.46,0.455,0.46,0.46,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2373263","event_id":"531878","slug":"will-marcelo-maranata-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-938","question":"Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?","group_item_title":"Marcelo Maranata","description":"The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:43:01.929985Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4097.725189000001,"volume_24hr":3926.388291999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":1293.2109979999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.616195678710938,"normalized_volume":20.301637649536133,"liquidity":31829.5859,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:29:02.698519Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:43.303607Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:54:58.255235Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner/will-marcelo-maranata-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-938","event_title":"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.14,0.135,0.135,0.125,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.075,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2373264","event_id":"531878","slug":"will-gabriel-souza-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-253","question":"Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?","group_item_title":"Gabriel Souza","description":"The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0085,0.9915],"probability":0.0085,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:43:25.795231Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1134.7350999999999,"volume_24hr":1034.6006,"prob_24h_change":-0.017499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":929.4661,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.917261123657227,"normalized_volume":14.52047348022461,"liquidity":11668.63053,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:29:02.698519Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:12:55.950545Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:54:58.255235Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner/will-gabriel-souza-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-253","event_title":"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.026,0.0255,0.0245,0.022,0.0225,0.0215,0.0225,0.023,0.023,0.024,0.0235,0.022,0.022,0.0225,0.022,0.0225,0.0215,0.023,0.021,0.0195,0.0175,0.0135,0.016,0.018,0.0095,0.0095,0.0095,0.0095,0.009,0.009,0.0085,0.0085,0.0085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2373266","event_id":"531878","slug":"will-luis-carlos-heinze-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-798","question":"Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?","group_item_title":"Luis Carlos Heinze","description":"The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:43:36.394228Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":503.126,"volume_24hr":398.13599999999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.018,"volume_24h_change":293.14599999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.845663070678711,"normalized_volume":11.361183166503906,"liquidity":11637.9562,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:29:02.698519Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:43.303607Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:54:58.255235Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner/will-luis-carlos-heinze-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-798","event_title":"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.0195,0.015,0.011,0.0085,0.0085,0.0075,0.0075,0.0075,0.0075,0.0055,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2373277","event_id":"531878","slug":"will-other-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-938","question":"Will Other win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner-6rqYA4Pv4v1H.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T21:44:07.503951Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-29T23:40:39.625675Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T21:54:58.255235Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T21:54:58.255235Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner/will-other-win-the-governor-of-rio-grande-do-sul-election-938","event_title":"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/531878","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:36:29.648354Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner\" — top market at 48% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}