{"source":"polymarket","id":"534747","ticker":"south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-july","slug":"south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-july","title":"South African Reserve Bank decision in July?","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Hike\" or \"Cut\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T18:39:00.734316Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1262.315832,"volume_24hr":6.36,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6349855661392212,"normalized_volume":11.179485321044922,"liquidity":875.2994,"open_interest":847.9119,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"103360","slug":"interest-rate","label":"Interest Rate"},{"id":"102198","slug":"south-africa","label":"South Africa"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25 bps hike","top_outcome_probability":0.505,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10499999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6.36,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:26:44.882691Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T16:26:44.882691Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T18:36:36.884462Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-july","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.36,6.36,6.36],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2379028","event_id":"534747","slug":"will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-hike-by-25-bps-at-the-july-2026-meeting","question":"Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"25 bps hike","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Hike\" or \"Cut\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.61,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T18:27:31.609610Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":557.625832,"volume_24hr":6.36,"prob_24h_change":0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":6.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6427611112594604,"normalized_volume":10.263374328613281,"liquidity":98.2136,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:53.762990Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T16:26:45.409323Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T18:36:36.920701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-july/will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-hike-by-25-bps-at-the-july-2026-meeting","event_title":"South African Reserve Bank decision in July?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.33,0.46,0.345,0.365,0.45,0.445,0.48,0.47,0.475,0.345,0.305,0.32,0.32,0.305,0.31,0.405,0.425,0.405,0.39,0.385,0.395,0.515,0.495,0.495,0.42,0.495,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.525,0.62,0.54,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2379029","event_id":"534747","slug":"will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-hike-by-50-bps-or-more-at-the-july-2026-meeting","question":"Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"50+ bps hike","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Hike\" or \"Cut\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T18:27:34.463559Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":53.14,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.0868754386901855,"liquidity":63.3101,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:53.762990Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T16:26:45.409323Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T18:36:36.920701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-july/will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-hike-by-50-bps-or-more-at-the-july-2026-meeting","event_title":"South African Reserve Bank decision in July?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.415,0.415,0.425,0.41,0.43,0.425,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2379025","event_id":"534747","slug":"will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-cut-by-50-bps-or-more-at-the-july-2026-meeting","question":"Will the South African Reserve Bank cut by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"50+ bps cut","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Hike\" or \"Cut\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.335,0.665],"probability":0.335,"spread":0.67,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T18:27:29.497664Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.14,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999953,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.6794071197509766,"liquidity":81.8952,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:31:31.845403Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:30:25.896189Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T18:36:36.920701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-july/will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-cut-by-50-bps-or-more-at-the-july-2026-meeting","event_title":"South African Reserve Bank decision in July?","chart_24h":[0.345,0.35,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.335,0.345,0.335,0.345,0.345,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.345,0.35,0.34,0.345,0.335,0.345,0.34,0.345,0.335,0.35,0.34,0.345,0.34,0.335,0.335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2379027","event_id":"534747","slug":"will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-hold-at-the-july-2026-meeting","question":"Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"No Change","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Hike\" or \"Cut\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T18:27:26.402744Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":547.27,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.019999999999999962,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.202741622924805,"liquidity":151.8873,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:53.762990Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T16:26:45.409323Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T18:36:36.920701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-july/will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-hold-at-the-july-2026-meeting","event_title":"South African Reserve Bank decision in July?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.275,0.28,0.28,0.225,0.245,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.275,0.275,0.255,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.275,0.285,0.285,0.275,0.29]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2379026","event_id":"534747","slug":"will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-cut-by-25-bps-at-the-july-2026-meeting","question":"Will the South African Reserve Bank cut by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"25 bps cut","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Hike\" or \"Cut\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-january-blckuVsGx8ui.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T18:27:22.603168Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61.14,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.373961925506592,"liquidity":85.4401,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:53.762990Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T16:26:45.409323Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T18:36:36.920701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-july/will-the-south-african-reserve-bank-cut-by-25-bps-at-the-july-2026-meeting","event_title":"South African Reserve Bank decision in July?","chart_24h":[0.225,0.355,0.195,0.36,0.17,0.04,0.085,0.085,0.06,0.06,0.36,0.065,0.06,0.04,0.135,0.06,0.06,0.375,0.215,0.38,0.075,0.16,0.05,0.235,0.065,0.06,0.065,0.13,0.055,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.06,0.185]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/534747","as_of":"2026-06-10T16:31:47.554259Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"South African Reserve Bank decision in July?\" — top market at 50% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}