{"source":"polymarket","id":"535607","ticker":"durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026","slug":"durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026","title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:26:58.995656Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42369.04773300001,"volume_24hr":270.2745100000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.678913116455078,"normalized_volume":24.92528533935547,"liquidity":32843.08559,"open_interest":5116.790172000001,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"105108","slug":"growth","label":"Growth"},{"id":"105179","slug":"goods","label":"Goods"},{"id":"104184","slug":"rewards-200-4pt5-20","label":"rewards 200, 4.5, 20"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"<-4%","top_outcome_probability":0.3265,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-210.43690399999997,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:36.413918Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:36.413918Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:20.875262Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026","chart_24h":[3853.664069,3813.664069,3753.664069,3727.491231,3721.321231,3701.321231,3681.321231,3818.671231,3774.782341,3754.782341,3761.375741,3761.375741,3719.375741,3400.115741,3380.115741,3289.685741,3289.685741,2873.075741,768.4514690000001,584.901469,565.281469,565.281469,298.30757700000004,298.30757700000004,300.847577,300.847577,300.847577,300.847577,300.847577,300.847577,234.97451000000004,234.97451000000004,270.2745100000001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2381048","event_id":"535607","slug":"will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-below-4-in-may","question":"Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?","group_item_title":"<-4%","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3265,0.6735],"probability":0.3265,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:06:34.146784Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2832.613222000001,"volume_24hr":212.95000000000005,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-210.43690399999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.955946922302246,"normalized_volume":16.209209442138672,"liquidity":4245.92815,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:04:05.080370Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:36.679709Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:21.135105Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026/will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-below-4-in-may","event_title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","chart_24h":[0.3315,0.3325,0.3325,0.333,0.334,0.3345,0.3395,0.3295,0.329,0.329,0.334,0.333,0.3295,0.3295,0.3325,0.3335,0.3325,0.3325,0.3325,0.3325,0.3325,0.3315,0.3325,0.333,0.3315,0.3325,0.3335,0.3445,0.345,0.3255,0.3265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2381051","event_id":"535607","slug":"will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-0-and-2-in-may","question":"Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?","group_item_title":"0%–2%","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:06:53.557090Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7163.251805999998,"volume_24hr":16.11111,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-314.66777,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.348712205886841,"normalized_volume":20.212583541870117,"liquidity":5572.0201,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:36:29.436533Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:31:58.698951Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:21.135105Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026/will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-0-and-2-in-may","event_title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","chart_24h":[0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2381052","event_id":"535607","slug":"will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-2-and-4-in-may","question":"Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?","group_item_title":"2%–4%","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:07:04.319099Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13986.821012,"volume_24hr":41.2134,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-774.5654579999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.817054748535156,"normalized_volume":23.374418258666992,"liquidity":5833.5795,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:51:21.881403Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:21.135105Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026/will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-2-and-4-in-may","event_title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.09,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2381049","event_id":"535607","slug":"will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-4-and-2-in-may","question":"Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?","group_item_title":"-4%– -2%","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:07:27.284990Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4200.052936000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-327.795176,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.854887008666992,"liquidity":4218.1539,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:06:12.147517Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:05:07.257354Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:21.135105Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026/will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-4-and-2-in-may","event_title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2381050","event_id":"535607","slug":"will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-2-and-0-in-may","question":"Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -2% and 0% in May?","group_item_title":"-2%– 0%","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1015,0.8985],"probability":0.1015,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:06:15.077644Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1494.1048999999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.013999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-274.694871,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.70667839050293,"liquidity":4924.3798,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:44:25.119972Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:29:41.132549Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:21.135105Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026/will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-2-and-0-in-may","event_title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","chart_24h":[0.1155,0.1145,0.1145,0.114,0.1135,0.113,0.1125,0.112,0.1115,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105,0.115,0.114,0.115,0.115,0.1155,0.1145,0.103,0.1015,0.1015,0.1015,0.1015,0.1015,0.1015,0.1015,0.1015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2381053","event_id":"535607","slug":"will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-4-and-6-in-may","question":"Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 4% and 6% in May?","group_item_title":"4%–6%","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:07:53.449927Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7956.669111000004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-539.1746340000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.6937313079834,"liquidity":3181.08267,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:04:05.080370Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:16:08.954577Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:21.135105Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026/will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-4-and-6-in-may","event_title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.0645,0.0645,0.0645,0.0645,0.0645,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2381054","event_id":"535607","slug":"will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-6-and-8-in-may","question":"Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 6% and 8% in May?","group_item_title":"6%-8%","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0135,0.9865],"probability":0.0135,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:07:11.170534Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2820.177877,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-326.217877,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.1912784576416,"liquidity":3561.9761,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:10:48.287550Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:09:42.318656Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:21.135105Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026/will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-between-6-and-8-in-may","event_title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","chart_24h":[0.0145,0.0145,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.014,0.0135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2381055","event_id":"535607","slug":"will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-at-least-8-in-may","question":"Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be at least 8% in May?","group_item_title":"8%+","description":"This is a market about the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the month-over-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported in the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders published by the U.S. Census Bureau.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders released for May 2026 (https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html), currently scheduled to be released on June 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, which reports the month-over-month percent change in new orders to one decimal point (e.g., 1.5%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note that this market resolves on the headline new orders for manufactured durable goods figure, not the ex-transportation or ex-defense figures.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the U.S. Census Bureau does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Advance Report on Durable Goods (https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026-M7XwcD4iJtUN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0115,0.9885],"probability":0.0115,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T22:10:01.003018Z","end_date":"2026-06-25T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1915.3568690000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-815.836869,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.653379440307617,"liquidity":3266.73918,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:04:05.080370Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:31:58.698951Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T22:18:21.135105Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/durable-goods-orders-mom-may-2026/will-durable-goods-orders-mom-be-at-least-8-in-may","event_title":"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026","chart_24h":[0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.013,0.013,0.0125,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/535607","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:05:45.688146Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026\" — top market at 33% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}