{"source":"polymarket","id":"542659","ticker":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20","title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Karol Rosa\" if Karol Rosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Luana Santos\" if Luana Santos is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:27:24.355241Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2794.9566230000005,"volume_24hr":1063.879426,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.395508766174316,"normalized_volume":13.462808609008789,"liquidity":27595.7331,"open_interest":1306.022616,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","top_outcome_probability":0.815,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999893,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:13:01.470797Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T13:13:01.470797Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.596857Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20","chart_24h":[429.084437,429.084437,640.7744369999999,629.790396,631.677187,631.677187,631.677187,631.677187,641.107187,678.843035,680.9263669999999,680.9263669999999,680.9263669999999,679.1081869999999,579.808187,579.808187,579.808187,455.808187,446.923744,402.481523,402.481523,402.481523,402.18152299999997,402.18152299999997,391.070413,391.070413,542.013808,688.512761,867.679426,1023.929426,1097.679426,1097.679426,1097.679426,1053.879426],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397774","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20","question":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","group_item_title":"Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos","description":"This market will resolve to \"Karol Rosa\" if Karol Rosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Luana Santos\" if Luana Santos is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Karol Rosa","Luana Santos"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:12:50.391622Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2794.9566230000005,"volume_24hr":1063.879426,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":423.10498900000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.463695526123047,"normalized_volume":18.47752571105957,"liquidity":19335.2733,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:15:39.622510Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T13:00:08.666595Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.505,0.505,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397786","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Karol Rosa and Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.815,0.185],"probability":0.815,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:11:24.864265Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999893,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":3174.3591,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:15:00.896061Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T13:13:01.677174Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.81,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397776","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Karol Rosa and Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:04:42.840117Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2651.8421,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:15:00.896061Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:46:38.247716Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.85,0.85,0.685,0.685,0.85,0.855]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397784","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Karol Rosa and Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.515,0.485],"probability":0.515,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:02:47.634731Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":233.4289,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T12:19:32.190100Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:17:42.290570Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.515,0.51,0.515,0.505,0.515,0.515,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.515,0.51,0.505,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397785","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Karol Rosa and Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:06:37.221771Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":292.469,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:15:00.896061Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:17:42.290570Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.465,0.49,0.495,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.465,0.495,0.495,0.49,0.495,0.495,0.47,0.485,0.495,0.495,0.485,0.495,0.485,0.49,0.485,0.495,0.455,0.495,0.49,0.495,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397782","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Karol Rosa and Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:07:03.995128Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":228.318,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:15:00.896061Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:32:59.436002Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.505,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397780","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-santos-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Luana Santos win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Santos to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Luana Santos defeats Karol Rosa at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.485,0.515],"probability":0.485,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:04:55.819377Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":184.7518,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:15:00.896061Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:32:59.436002Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-santos-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.48,0.505,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.515,0.505,0.51,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.505,0.51,0.505,0.515,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.505,0.505,0.485,0.52,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397778","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Karol Rosa and Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:05:04.073566Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":200.1674,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:15:00.896061Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:32:59.436002Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.505,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.515,0.505,0.51,0.515,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.505,0.505,0.495,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2397779","event_id":"542659","slug":"ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-rosa-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Karol Rosa win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Rosa to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Karol Rosa defeats Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T22:04:55.034958Z","end_date":"2026-06-21T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":171.0638,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T13:15:00.896061Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:32:59.436002Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T22:29:52.689130Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20/ufc-kar3-lua4-2026-06-20-rosa-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.515,0.5,0.485,0.495,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.5,0.495,0.485,0.515,0.495,0.495,0.505,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/542659","as_of":"2026-06-16T13:16:10.177495Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)\" — top market at 50% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}