{"source":"polymarket","id":"552327","ticker":"iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397","slug":"iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397","title":"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","description":"Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5187.3502,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.055633544921875,"liquidity":5159.57851,"open_interest":1420.521199,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105144","slug":"iowa-primaries","label":"Iowa Primaries"},{"id":"105146","slug":"senate-primaries","label":"Senate Primaries"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"},{"id":"802","slug":"iowa","label":"Iowa"},{"id":"105145","slug":"democratic-primaries","label":"Democratic Primaries"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Turek 20–30%","top_outcome_probability":0.981,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.007500000000000062,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-219.99,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:30:53.380146Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:30:53.380146Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T18:13:42.424236Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397","chart_24h":[219.99,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2420491","event_id":"552327","slug":"will-josh-turek-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-by-between-20-and-30-20260602160414997","question":"Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by between 20% and 30%?","group_item_title":"Turek 20–30%","description":"Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.981,0.019],"probability":0.981,"spread":0.034,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T18:10:17.202332Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4181.2402,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.007500000000000062,"volume_24h_change":-219.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.835681915283203,"liquidity":3613.45815,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:32.054084Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:48:39.299472Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T18:13:42.457617Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397/will-josh-turek-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-by-between-20-and-30-20260602160414997","event_title":"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.989,0.989,0.9895,0.989,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.9895,0.989,0.989,0.9895,0.989,0.9895,0.9895,0.981,0.981,0.981,0.981,0.981]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2420495","event_id":"552327","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-20260602160415001","question":"Will another outcome occur in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T18:10:33.562621Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:01:09.700450Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T18:13:42.457617Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T18:13:42.457617Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-20260602160415001","event_title":"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2420490","event_id":"552327","slug":"will-josh-turek-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-by-30-or-more-20260602160414996","question":"Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by 30% or more?","group_item_title":"Turek 30%+","description":"Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0445,0.9555],"probability":0.0445,"spread":0.087,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T18:10:17.473265Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":233.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.633853912353516,"liquidity":134.65504,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:32:09.008109Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:30:53.849616Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T18:13:42.457617Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397/will-josh-turek-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-by-30-or-more-20260602160414996","event_title":"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0205,0.0305,0.15,0.026,0.294,0.3885,0.0495,0.044,0.047,0.036,0.0385,0.0495,0.0245,0.032,0.0315,0.0405,0.0455,0.046,0.039,0.0495,0.0405,0.04,0.039,0.043,0.0495,0.049,0.0385,0.046,0.04,0.048,0.0385,0.038,0.0405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2420493","event_id":"552327","slug":"will-josh-turek-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-by-less-than-10-20260602160414999","question":"Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by less than 10%?","group_item_title":"Turek <10%","description":"Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0375,0.9625],"probability":0.0375,"spread":0.073,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T18:10:29.364912Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":308.01000000000005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.431865692138672,"liquidity":145.98336,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:32:09.008109Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:30:53.849616Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T18:13:42.457617Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397/will-josh-turek-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-by-less-than-10-20260602160414999","event_title":"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.1535,0.0275,0.121,0.028,0.069,0.0965,0.045,0.0475,0.037,0.034,0.0315,0.0445,0.0365,0.043,0.0355,0.0455,0.0295,0.0305,0.044,0.047,0.035,0.0485,0.0315,0.044,0.0345,0.0485,0.036,0.0445,0.0325,0.037,0.0465,0.0395,0.0425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2420492","event_id":"552327","slug":"will-josh-turek-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-by-between-10-and-20-20260602160414998","question":"Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Turek 10–20%","description":"Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0115,0.9885],"probability":0.0115,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T18:10:19.207373Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":227.09999999999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.011,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.562551498413086,"liquidity":152.0052,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:32:09.008109Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:30:53.849616Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T18:13:42.457617Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397/will-josh-turek-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-by-between-10-and-20-20260602160414998","event_title":"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.007,0.0125,0.045,0.0145,0.0185,0.021,0.0105,0.0135,0.0135,0.0155,0.0185,0.0155,0.0135,0.013,0.016,0.0175,0.015,0.0125,0.0105,0.0175,0.0125,0.0125,0.0205,0.0085,0.014,0.0155,0.0165,0.015,0.019,0.013,0.0175,0.015,0.017]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2420494","event_id":"552327","slug":"will-zach-wahls-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-20260602160415000","question":"Will Zach Wahls win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary?","group_item_title":"Wahls Wins","description":"Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/io-ffe3e675ae.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T18:10:31.385397Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":238.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.693139553070068,"liquidity":483.5721,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:55:19.398154Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:06:53.165741Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T18:13:42.457617Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260602160244397/will-zach-wahls-win-the-iowa-democratic-senate-primary-20260602160415000","event_title":"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.01,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/552327","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:42:42.024954Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory\" — top market at 98% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}