{"source":"polymarket","id":"553441","ticker":"will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659","slug":"will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659","title":"Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659-0HbIPJTQgLES.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659-0HbIPJTQgLES.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-03T01:24:38.987386Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11717.45789500002,"volume_24hr":194.013719,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.381396293640137,"normalized_volume":19.241985321044922,"liquidity":27549.8355,"open_interest":3066.733823,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101475","slug":"lula","label":"lula"},{"id":"100188","slug":"supreme-court","label":"Supreme Court "}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.765,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-24.89,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:12:49.367435Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T16:12:49.367435Z","added_at":"2026-06-03T01:39:03.312475Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659","chart_24h":[243.19,243.19,243.19,236.3,236.3,231.41,231.41,231.41,231.41,231.41,231.41,231.41,231.41,351.41,351.41,351.41,249.39,229.39,229.39,229.39,234.36,234.36,234.36,234.36,234.36,186.56,177.16,177.16,177.16,177.16,177.16,187.034997,194.013719],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2423670","event_id":"553441","slug":"will-lula-announce-the-nomination-of-an-individual-for-minister-of-the-supreme-federal-court-of-brazil-by-september-30-20260602182956655","question":"Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.535,0.465],"probability":0.535,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-03T01:14:58.020908Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1366.5991180000003,"volume_24hr":16.853719,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":16.853719,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.424325704574585,"normalized_volume":13.374429702758789,"liquidity":3761.5762,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:45:44.058722Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:44:40.842116Z","added_at":"2026-06-03T01:39:03.332801Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659/will-lula-announce-the-nomination-of-an-individual-for-minister-of-the-supreme-federal-court-of-brazil-by-september-30-20260602182956655","event_title":"Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?","chart_24h":[0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.535]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2423669","event_id":"553441","slug":"will-lula-announce-the-nomination-of-an-individual-for-minister-of-the-supreme-federal-court-of-brazil-by-june-30-20260602182956654","question":"Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-03T01:15:02.815572Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7785.89258700002,"volume_24hr":177.16,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":-41.140000000000015,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.072160720825195,"normalized_volume":20.593887329101562,"liquidity":14393.1222,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:58:27.754920Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:21:29.694581Z","added_at":"2026-06-03T01:39:03.332801Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659/will-lula-announce-the-nomination-of-an-individual-for-minister-of-the-supreme-federal-court-of-brazil-by-june-30-20260602182956654","event_title":"Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.185,0.18,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2423671","event_id":"553441","slug":"will-lula-announce-the-nomination-of-an-individual-for-minister-of-the-supreme-federal-court-of-brazil-by-december-31-20260602182956656","question":"Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.765,0.235],"probability":0.765,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-03T01:15:00.766804Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2564.9661899999996,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-24.89,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.807111740112305,"liquidity":10114.66,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:58:09.164750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:57:06.616914Z","added_at":"2026-06-03T01:39:03.332801Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659/will-lula-announce-the-nomination-of-an-individual-for-minister-of-the-supreme-federal-court-of-brazil-by-december-31-20260602182956656","event_title":"Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?","chart_24h":[0.77,0.765,0.765,0.765,0.765,0.765,0.765,0.775,0.765,0.765,0.765,0.77,0.77,0.765]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/553441","as_of":"2026-06-10T16:20:46.949323Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?\" — top market at 16% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}