{"source":"polymarket","id":"556146","ticker":"which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july","slug":"which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july","title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-2aPXb3voV_7Y.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-2aPXb3voV_7Y.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:20.137052Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.117389,"volume_24hr":9.575339,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":9.575339,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.309964179992676,"normalized_volume":2.730431079864502,"liquidity":662.7367,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-anthropic-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.61,0.605,0.595,0.61,0.615,0.61,0.61,0.595,0.61,0.605,0.585,0.615,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.625,0.58,0.605,0.615,0.615,0.615,0.62,0.63,0.625,0.62,0.615,0.615,0.64]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430380","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-amazon-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0315,0.9685],"probability":0.0315,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:58.059399Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":564.9499999999999,"volume_24hr":43.8,"prob_24h_change":0.0045000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":42.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.003384113311768,"normalized_volume":10.30568790435791,"liquidity":782.01336,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-amazon-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.027,0.0235,0.024,0.132,0.0185,0.0255,0.0225,0.03,0.0185,0.0345,0.032,0.0485,0.0155,0.028,0.02,0.0255,0.017,0.0315,0.023,0.016,0.0315,0.0215,0.0125,0.0305,0.0215,0.014,0.035,0.0375,0.031,0.0235,0.016,0.038,0.033]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430376","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-mistral-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.052,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:39.962998Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":591.7837999999999,"volume_24hr":60.68,"prob_24h_change":-0.10450000000000001,"volume_24h_change":60.68,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.05556583404541,"normalized_volume":10.456873893737793,"liquidity":1619.56551,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:35:05.991425Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-mistral-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.1345,0.057,0.024,0.141,0.1565,0.0505,0.017,0.017,0.05,0.057,0.0715,0.031,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.031,0.031,0.032,0.031,0.031,0.0315,0.0305,0.031,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0305,0.031,0.0305,0.0315,0.0315,0.03]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430374","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-deepseek-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0195,0.9805],"probability":0.0195,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:36.883231Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":526.71625,"volume_24hr":5.56625,"prob_24h_change":-0.0015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":-165.58375,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4707444906234741,"normalized_volume":10.07949161529541,"liquidity":1596.14475,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-deepseek-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.021,0.025,0.0225,0.0245,0.022,0.0215,0.021,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.019,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.0195,0.019,0.0195,0.0195,0.019,0.019]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430368","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-google-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.29,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:19.331712Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44.989228999999995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":-9.89,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.7595810890197754,"liquidity":822.5813,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-google-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.225,0.24,0.23,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.255,0.265,0.225,0.24,0.26,0.245,0.26,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.245,0.25,0.255,0.275,0.285,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430381","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-baidu-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-january-2026-MWj8PQJLsiaa.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-january-2026-MWj8PQJLsiaa.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.436,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:07:02.178805Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":573.05,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.1765,"volume_24h_change":-1.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.351949691772461,"liquidity":723.4431,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-baidu-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.0585,0.0655,0.0635,0.1555,0.059,0.06,0.0625,0.076,0.1515,0.17,0.1735,0.184,0.1925,0.166,0.1735,0.0685,0.07,0.171,0.1785,0.1775,0.191,0.193,0.204,0.1975,0.2035,0.195,0.2125,0.2125,0.2435,0.2375,0.2455,0.243,0.1835]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430373","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-xai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"xAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-u3iUE4o3SB1s.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-u3iUE4o3SB1s.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1815,0.8185],"probability":0.1815,"spread":0.341,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:37.143629Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54.3722,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0305,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.133089065551758,"liquidity":859.09597,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-xai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.151,0.147,0.0655,0.0685,0.0625,0.0615,0.063,0.153,0.154,0.1685,0.1675,0.1745,0.166,0.0805,0.1725,0.1705,0.171,0.169,0.1665,0.1765,0.194,0.1895,0.2045,0.193,0.202,0.203,0.2,0.2055,0.204,0.203,0.197,0.203,0.1765]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430370","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-openai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:31.386814Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.68,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":-12.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.3582353591918945,"liquidity":819.1834,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:04:05.080370Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:02:44.419235Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-openai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.16,0.165,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.185,0.19,0.175,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430382","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-bytedance-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.26,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:07:04.983040Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":799.8309999999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-232.28,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.465433120727539,"liquidity":1188.353,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-bytedance-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.135,0.12,0.12,0.135,0.12,0.095,0.13,0.17,0.155,0.15,0.18,0.125,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.115,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.195,0.16,0.2,0.185,0.27,0.255,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.2,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430372","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.057,0.943],"probability":0.057,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:33.953444Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":521.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.004500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":-171.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.045419692993164,"liquidity":1188.25318,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.0525,0.138,0.058,0.021,0.055,0.053,0.139,0.0225,0.049,0.077,0.0635,0.076,0.0655,0.1375,0.0615,0.025,0.0725,0.0605,0.0715,0.06,0.0725,0.08,0.0805,0.1395,0.0795,0.08,0.1225,0.114,0.0735,0.074,0.0745,0.0725,0.0565]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430375","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-TCvFK-_I3gLE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-TCvFK-_I3gLE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.053,0.947],"probability":0.053,"spread":0.084,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:38.933748Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":521.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0029999999999999957,"volume_24h_change":-171.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.045419692993164,"liquidity":1550.86974,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.02,0.0205,0.056,0.1305,0.0495,0.048,0.0595,0.055,0.0715,0.0615,0.0535,0.0615,0.056,0.059,0.057,0.0525,0.0565,0.0565,0.0555,0.067,0.0745,0.075,0.1305,0.0625,0.0745,0.13,0.11,0.069,0.069,0.07,0.068,0.052]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430379","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-meta-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0475,0.9525],"probability":0.0475,"spread":0.073,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:51.036381Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":73.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.77826452255249,"liquidity":684.1503,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:49:59.078376Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:48:53.294951Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-meta-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.0485,0.0485,0.049,0.0485,0.0485,0.0485,0.048,0.047,0.0475,0.047,0.03,0.0475,0.048,0.047,0.048,0.0475,0.058,0.048,0.048,0.0475,0.047,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.047,0.0475,0.0475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430371","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-alibaba-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-jSpk4aBgTVpy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-jSpk4aBgTVpy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:31.114535Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":524.23,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0205,"volume_24h_change":-356.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.064310073852539,"liquidity":968.18676,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:02:43.395843Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-alibaba-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0295,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.038,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0315,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0485,0.0655,0.0265,0.035,0.0355,0.035,0.0225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430378","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-microsoft-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:46.950959Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":400.8639,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.22237777709961,"liquidity":928.34477,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:27:35.851107Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T02:34:30.102691Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-microsoft-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":[0.006,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430377","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-meituan-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026-S2AXaGUMov2m.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026-S2AXaGUMov2m.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:06:45.158468Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":381.47709899999995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.070906639099121,"liquidity":684.01936,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:29:58.658103Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T23:24:19.791106Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-meituan-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2430393","event_id":"556146","slug":"will-any-other-company-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","question":"Will any other company have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:08:05.768296Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:05:21.830436Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:22:10.637542Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-july/will-any-other-company-have-the-second-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-july-2026","event_title":"Which company has second best AI model end of July?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/556146","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:07:17.570198Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which company has second best AI model end of July?\" — top market at 3% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}