{"source":"polymarket","id":"562916","ticker":"trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-741","slug":"trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-741","title":"Trump approval Up or Down this week?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.\n\nThe data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.\n\nIf no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.\n\nIf no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-hHUpcu_bNiXp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-hHUpcu_bNiXp.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-05T19:56:28.556228Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":73.452973,"volume_24hr":66.98695,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.189144611358643,"normalized_volume":4.078738212585449,"liquidity":141.3021,"open_interest":72.08321,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101697","slug":"approval","label":"Approval"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"103356","slug":"approvals","label":"approvals"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.175,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.23000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":65.617088,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:43:54.372732Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:43:54.372732Z","added_at":"2026-06-05T19:52:12.515687Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-741","chart_24h":[1.369862,1.369862,67.26986199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,68.35681199999999,66.98695,66.98695,66.98695,66.98695,66.98695,66.98695],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2446093","event_id":"562916","slug":"trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-741","question":"Trump approval Up or Down this week?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.\n\nThe data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.\n\nIf no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.\n\nIf no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-hHUpcu_bNiXp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-hHUpcu_bNiXp.jpg","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.29,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-05T19:39:44.415637Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":73.452973,"volume_24hr":66.98695,"prob_24h_change":-0.23000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":65.617088,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.379371166229248,"normalized_volume":4.765314102172852,"liquidity":154.2817,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:36:08.534547Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:40:41.615047Z","added_at":"2026-06-05T19:52:12.541233Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-741/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-741","event_title":"Trump approval Up or Down this week?","chart_24h":[0.405,0.4,0.285,0.215,0.11,0.1,0.095,0.09,0.095,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/562916","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:07:34.230397Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Trump approval Up or Down this week?\" — top market at 18% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}