{"source":"polymarket","id":"569791","ticker":"world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination","slug":"world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination","title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/South Africa-ddc27e566d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/South Africa-ddc27e566d.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:22:13.633346Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1758.709373,"volume_24hr":1268.308481,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.81476402282715,"normalized_volume":12.105518341064453,"liquidity":91979.60276,"open_interest":852.8243749999999,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"102350","slug":"2026-fifa-world-cup","label":"2026 FIFA World Cup"},{"id":"102232","slug":"fifa-world-cup","label":"FIFA World Cup"},{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"105310","slug":"wc-stage-of-elimination","label":"Stage of Elimination"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Group Stage","top_outcome_probability":0.855,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.20999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":579.3385440000001,"updated_at":"2026-06-12T16:40:58.327364Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T16:40:58.327364Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.373997Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.469131,123.889131,134.000312,156.130312,157.364875,167.364875,167.364875,526.744875,526.744875,576.726692,576.726692,576.726692,643.986692,653.446692,661.806692,711.806692,711.806692,752.050592,752.050592,802.050592,1082.0902780000001,1082.0902780000001,1268.308481,1268.308481,1268.308481,1268.308481,1268.308481,1268.308481,1268.308481],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2463297","event_id":"569791","slug":"will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-group-stage-stage-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224737","question":"Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?","group_item_title":"Group Stage","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.855,0.145],"probability":0.855,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:06:38.339857Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":586.338544,"volume_24hr":579.3385440000001,"prob_24h_change":0.20999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":579.3385440000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.04024887084961,"normalized_volume":10.426667213439941,"liquidity":5744.6984,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T15:31:35.913604Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T15:30:37.665967Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination/will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-group-stage-stage-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224737","event_title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","chart_24h":[0.645,0.645,0.665,0.715,0.71,0.72,0.735,0.745,0.745,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.825,0.825,0.825,0.83,0.84,0.855,0.86,0.855]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2463298","event_id":"569791","slug":"will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-round-of-32-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224738","question":"Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?","group_item_title":"Round of 32","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:06:40.359885Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":102.962267,"volume_24hr":102.962267,"prob_24h_change":-0.155,"volume_24h_change":102.962267,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.010088920593262,"normalized_volume":5.5321364402771,"liquidity":868.1794,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T16:42:05.169173Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T16:40:58.551407Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination/will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-round-of-32-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224738","event_title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","chart_24h":[0.27,0.26,0.245,0.395,0.375,0.15,0.2,0.305,0.195,0.26,0.11,0.11,0.095,0.085,0.085,0.09,0.09,0.115,0.095,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.085,0.08,0.105,0.12,0.13,0.125,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.065,0.065,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2463299","event_id":"569791","slug":"will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-round-of-16-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224739","question":"Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?","group_item_title":"Round of 16","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:06:53.022267Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":160.52157499999998,"volume_24hr":133.145233,"prob_24h_change":-0.015,"volume_24h_change":133.145233,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.91351318359375,"normalized_volume":6.631677627563477,"liquidity":1792.5672,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T16:42:21.051369Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T16:12:41.976930Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination/will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-round-of-16-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224739","event_title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.08,0.055,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.045,0.04,0.04,0.085,0.075,0.09,0.08,0.075,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2463300","event_id":"569791","slug":"will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-quarterfinals-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224740","question":"Will South Africa be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?","group_item_title":"Quarterfinals","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.044,0.956],"probability":0.044,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:06:54.072774Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":236.20300000000003,"volume_24hr":196.203,"prob_24h_change":0.006999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":196.203,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.370786666870117,"normalized_volume":7.671949863433838,"liquidity":606.32081,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T16:42:05.169173Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T16:40:58.551407Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination/will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-quarterfinals-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224740","event_title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","chart_24h":[0.037,0.0365,0.038,0.0365,0.0365,0.038,0.058,0.135,0.0665,0.033,0.0565,0.073,0.029,0.0325,0.0355,0.039,0.0525,0.0295,0.0265,0.0415,0.031,0.018,0.019,0.0185,0.017,0.016,0.0125,0.014,0.051,0.0465,0.023,0.034,0.0365,0.044]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2463301","event_id":"569791","slug":"will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-semifinals-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224741","question":"Will South Africa be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?","group_item_title":"Semifinals","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0155,0.9845],"probability":0.0155,"spread":0.011,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:06:54.339024Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":234.02992,"volume_24hr":84.25647,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":84.25647,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.340420722961426,"normalized_volume":7.6461501121521,"liquidity":14528.1707,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T12:43:33.495979Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T12:42:30.263190Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination/will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-semifinals-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224741","event_title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","chart_24h":[0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0115,0.04,0.024,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.0175,0.015,0.0175,0.0155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2463302","event_id":"569791","slug":"will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-final-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224742","question":"Will South Africa be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?","group_item_title":"Final","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.014,0.986],"probability":0.014,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:07:05.124846Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":179.16796699999998,"volume_24hr":107.037967,"prob_24h_change":0.0025000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":96.92678599999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.143292427062988,"normalized_volume":6.919721603393555,"liquidity":23617.78254,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T15:17:41.772684Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T15:16:36.612116Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination/will-south-africa-be-eliminated-in-the-final-of-the-world-cup-20260605224224742","event_title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","chart_24h":[0.0115,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.0145,0.0115,0.011,0.012,0.013,0.014]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2463303","event_id":"569791","slug":"will-south-africa-win-the-world-cup-20260605224224743","question":"Will South Africa win the World Cup?","group_item_title":"Champion","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:07:06.452554Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259.4861,"volume_24hr":65.36500000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.0025,"volume_24h_change":65.36500000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.53652286529541,"normalized_volume":7.936901569366455,"liquidity":45632.59768,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T12:15:20.589681Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T12:13:54.987612Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination/will-south-africa-win-the-world-cup-20260605224224743","event_title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","chart_24h":[0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0025,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2463296","event_id":"569791","slug":"will-south-africa-finish-in-some-other-position-in-the-world-cup-20260605224224736","question":"Will South Africa finish in some other position in the World Cup?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Africa is eliminated. If South Africa wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.\nIf South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T17:06:35.299037Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:01:33.124978Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","added_at":"2026-06-07T17:21:51.429159Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-south-africa-stage-of-elimination/will-south-africa-finish-in-some-other-position-in-the-world-cup-20260605224224736","event_title":"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/569791","as_of":"2026-06-12T16:49:58.978385Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination\" — top market at 86% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}