{"source":"polymarket","id":"57057","ticker":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31","slug":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31","title":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?","description":"On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnouncements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to \"Yes\"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-10T15:27:24.489087Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4048177.5059370003,"volume_24hr":635.829836,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.292281150817871,"normalized_volume":48.75833511352539,"liquidity":21545.78595,"open_interest":19252.760715,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"61","slug":"gaza","label":"Gaza"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.012,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0014999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1206.692684,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:05:25.965393Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:05:25.965393Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31","chart_24h":[1234.29252,1234.29252,1837.40252,1842.52252,1842.52252,1842.52252,1842.52252,1848.339051,1848.339051,1848.339051,1848.339051,1855.0023560000002,1855.0023560000002,1851.0792660000002,1225.156703,1225.156703,1225.156703,1225.156703,1194.8567030000002,1188.716703,1188.716703,626.9067030000001,626.9067030000001,626.9067030000001,620.7098360000001,620.7098360000001,620.7098360000001,620.7098360000001,632.809836,635.829836,635.829836,635.829836,635.829836,635.829836],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1090489","event_id":"57057","slug":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-june-30","question":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"On October 9, 2025 Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnouncements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to \"Yes\"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-02T21:55:33.345643Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":142849.39942500036,"volume_24hr":635.829836,"prob_24h_change":-0.0014999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":-1206.692684,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.710737228393555,"normalized_volume":39.05234909057617,"liquidity":23193.98681,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T03:52:21.965252Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T03:49:29.612794Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-june-30","event_title":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?","chart_24h":[0.0135,0.013,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"628889","event_id":"57057","slug":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31","question":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnouncements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to \"Yes\"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.002,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-10T15:14:23.790000Z","end_date":"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-11-01T06:12:08Z","volume":2502858.18776,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":60.16688537597656,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31","event_title":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"631099","event_id":"57057","slug":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-december-31-672-844","question":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnouncements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to \"Yes\"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-10T21:27:32.008000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T09:16:37Z","volume":708479.043831,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.300254821777344,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-december-31-672-844","event_title":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"654676","event_id":"57057","slug":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-november-30-546-524","question":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnouncements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to \"Yes\"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-29T02:26:01.933163Z","end_date":"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-12-01T07:39:32Z","volume":347840.957852,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.127986907958984,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-november-30-546-524","event_title":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"654677","event_id":"57057","slug":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-november-7-918","question":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?","group_item_title":"November 7","description":"On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by November 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnouncements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to \"Yes\"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-29T02:27:19.411904Z","end_date":"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-11-08T07:18:57Z","volume":201515.521018,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.3492546081543,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-november-7-918","event_title":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"664748","event_id":"57057","slug":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-march-31-2026-824","question":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnouncements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to \"Yes\"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-04T17:08:28.015000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T12:21:01Z","volume":144634.3960509999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.13410568237305,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-march-31-2026-824","event_title":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1090488","event_id":"57057","slug":"israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-january-31","question":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by January 31?","group_item_title":"January 31","description":"On October 9, 2025 Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnouncements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to \"Yes\"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31-APMH1GLpv6ia.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T14:57:52.223001Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-january-31","event_title":"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/57057","as_of":"2026-06-22T07:10:53.459816Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?\" — top market at 1% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}