{"source":"polymarket","id":"57727","ticker":"lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381","slug":"lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381","title":"Lecornu out as French PM by...?","description":"On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-11T01:47:36.040151Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":323592.896655,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.297340393066406,"liquidity":5011.82482,"open_interest":7438.1679,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.275,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-6.666664,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:46:45.556019Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:46:45.556019Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381","chart_24h":[923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,923.706664,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,917.04,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"813508","event_id":"57727","slug":"lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-december-31-2026","question":"Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T17:20:26.058000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7460.179509,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-6.666664,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.397945404052734,"liquidity":595.3982,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:19:20.167188Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:16:15.172150Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Lecornu out as French PM by...?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.275,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"813507","event_id":"57727","slug":"lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-june-30-2026","question":"Lecornu  out as French PM by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T17:20:26.314000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22693.342779,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-917.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.804407119750977,"liquidity":5483.34583,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:07:33.598405Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:06:07.348411Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-june-30-2026","event_title":"Lecornu out as French PM by...?","chart_24h":[0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"631316","event_id":"57727","slug":"lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-december-31-395-183","question":"Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-11T01:45:30.212000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T10:15:15Z","volume":129159.788437,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.5278205871582,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-december-31-395-183","event_title":"Lecornu out as French PM by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"631317","event_id":"57727","slug":"lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-october-31","question":"Lecornu  out as French PM by October 31?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-11T01:45:28.240000Z","end_date":"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-11-01T06:24:06Z","volume":159092.206496,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.79739761352539,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-october-31","event_title":"Lecornu out as French PM by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"651772","event_id":"57727","slug":"lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-november-30","question":"Lecornu  out as French PM by November 30?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-oOTcQKuWQG2U.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-27T15:54:53.005000Z","end_date":"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-12-01T07:29:42Z","volume":5187.379434,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.769800186157227,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-november-30","event_title":"Lecornu out as French PM by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/57727","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:53:31.237718Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Lecornu out as French PM by...?\" — top market at 28% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}