{"source":"polymarket","id":"577376","ticker":"iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829","slug":"iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829","title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-Djo8VXRKur_C.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-Djo8VXRKur_C.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T20:04:05.618539Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":150888.26854500003,"volume_24hr":150888.26854499997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":57.4383659362793,"normalized_volume":31.22183609008789,"liquidity":108761.98724,"open_interest":76222.623449,"categories":["World"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"102798","slug":"airspace","label":"Airspace"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.83,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.32499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9100.759264,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:20.294180Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:20.294180Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.882670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829","chart_24h":[0.0,1076.617359,9136.503527999997,24545.155429,31908.889987999995,47471.953256999994,53821.62048899999,71845.046683,75154.08509299999,84241.151825,92920.3608,102031.81358699998,109184.968188,115051.93106999999,131425.34717199998,132259.587172,135197.53137799999,148044.844513],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481467","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-december-31-20260609184136058","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:29:32.878793Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9100.759264,"volume_24hr":9100.759264,"prob_24h_change":0.32499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":9100.759264,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.51736831665039,"normalized_volume":21.317344665527344,"liquidity":9611.5061,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:31:06.569412Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:30:29.392019Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-december-31-20260609184136058","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.77,0.725,0.935,0.89,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.765,0.795,0.815,0.825,0.825,0.82,0.83]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481465","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-august-31-20260609184136057","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.655,0.345],"probability":0.655,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:32:40.135240Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1601.622012,"volume_24hr":1601.622012,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":1601.622012,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.617753982543945,"normalized_volume":13.968342781066895,"liquidity":5139.8859,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:38:47.358180Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:38:14.849195Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-august-31-20260609184136057","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.515,0.44,0.585,0.825,0.77,0.745,0.72,0.64,0.65,0.655,0.65,0.66,0.655]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481464","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-july-31-20260609184136056","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.555,0.445],"probability":0.555,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:32:30.448337Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2783.7172849999993,"volume_24hr":2783.717285,"prob_24h_change":0.050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":2783.717285,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.131385803222656,"normalized_volume":16.138301849365234,"liquidity":4276.2282,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:38:47.358180Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:38:14.849195Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-july-31-20260609184136056","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.5,0.455,0.525,0.5,0.315,0.45,0.555,0.64,0.635,0.515,0.56,0.555]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481463","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-july-15-20260609184136055","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?","group_item_title":"July 15","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:36:08.877433Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":964.1023899999999,"volume_24hr":964.1023899999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":964.1023899999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.61569595336914,"normalized_volume":12.1143217086792,"liquidity":8856.3865,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:04:05.080370Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:21.915534Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-july-15-20260609184136055","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.445,0.78,0.54,0.47,0.465,0.455,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.415,0.43,0.425,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481462","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-30-20260609184136054","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.335,0.665],"probability":0.335,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:38:06.462005Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3448.9708090000004,"volume_24hr":3448.970809,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":3448.970809,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.56192398071289,"normalized_volume":17.021778106689453,"liquidity":7889.0185,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:56.701208Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:20.324471Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-30-20260609184136054","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.465,0.45,0.405,0.33,0.315,0.31,0.315,0.325,0.33]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481461","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-15-20260609184136053","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?","group_item_title":"June 15","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:29:29.987824Z","end_date":"2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3514.440595,"volume_24hr":3514.4405950000005,"prob_24h_change":-0.28,"volume_24h_change":3514.4405950000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.689281463623047,"normalized_volume":17.100433349609375,"liquidity":7264.956,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:04:05.080370Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:21.915534Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-15-20260609184136053","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.51,0.37,0.325,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.255,0.175,0.165,0.17,0.175,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481460","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-14-20260609184136052","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?","group_item_title":"June 14","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:37:03.127984Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3377.3154590000004,"volume_24hr":3377.315459,"prob_24h_change":-0.325,"volume_24h_change":3377.315459,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.42007827758789,"normalized_volume":16.93417739868164,"liquidity":6276.7904,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:56.701208Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:20.324471Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-14-20260609184136052","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.34,0.33,0.245,0.305,0.305,0.265,0.22,0.14,0.135,0.14,0.135,0.14,0.14,0.155,0.175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481459","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-13-20260609184136051","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?","group_item_title":"June 13","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:48:26.948931Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2966.725922,"volume_24hr":2966.725922,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":2966.725922,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.552452087402344,"normalized_volume":16.398345947265625,"liquidity":7275.0202,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:36:29.436533Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:35:48.389803Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-13-20260609184136051","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.285,0.295,0.185,0.185,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.135,0.14,0.14,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481458","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-12-20260609184136050","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?","group_item_title":"June 12","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:30:22.689529Z","end_date":"2026-06-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3197.9426499999995,"volume_24hr":3197.9426499999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":3197.9426499999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.05308723449707,"normalized_volume":16.707529067993164,"liquidity":7178.8818,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:56.701208Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:20.324471Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-12-20260609184136050","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.535,0.345,0.415,0.235,0.28,0.285,0.225,0.165,0.135,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481457","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-11-20260609184136049","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?","group_item_title":"June 11","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:30:27.676713Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9097.710537000008,"volume_24hr":9097.710537000003,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":9097.710537000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.51483154296875,"normalized_volume":21.315776824951172,"liquidity":6724.8434,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:04:05.080370Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:21.915534Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-11-20260609184136049","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.555,0.36,0.255,0.225,0.225,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.085,0.11,0.11,0.125,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481456","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-10-20260609184136048","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?","group_item_title":"June 10","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1025,0.8975],"probability":0.1025,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:34:30.685900Z","end_date":"2026-06-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45442.080889,"volume_24hr":45442.080889,"prob_24h_change":-0.3875,"volume_24h_change":45430.019056,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.7681999206543,"normalized_volume":29.500835418701172,"liquidity":8431.05594,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:56.701208Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:20.324471Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-10-20260609184136048","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.105,0.085,0.0995,0.076,0.0715,0.105,0.077,0.125,0.1245,0.1255,0.1065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2481455","event_id":"577376","slug":"will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-9-20260609184136047","question":"Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?","group_item_title":"June 9","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0065,0.9935],"probability":0.0065,"spread":0.013,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T19:41:06.552900Z","end_date":"2026-06-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65982.31212300001,"volume_24hr":65982.31212299997,"prob_24h_change":-0.1185,"volume_24h_change":65950.82626099997,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.14830780029297,"normalized_volume":31.58833122253418,"liquidity":7497.58841,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:42.898604Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:20.324471Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T19:58:58.899291Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-9-20260609184136047","event_title":"Iran closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.12,0.15,0.075,0.065,0.045,0.06,0.0145,0.014,0.0065,0.0045,0.004,0.0045,0.0035,0.0035,0.007]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/577376","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:20:09.664395Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Iran closes its airspace by...?\" — top market at 1% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}