{"source":"polymarket","id":"577960","ticker":"will-futuro-nazionale-get-at-least-3-of-the-vote-in-the-next-italian-general-elections-20260609164706854","slug":"will-futuro-nazionale-get-at-least-3-of-the-vote-in-the-next-italian-general-elections-20260609164706854","title":"Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?","description":"Italy is scheduled to hold general elections by December 22, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Futuro Nazionale receives at least the listed percentage of total valid votes in the next Italian general elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly the vote totals from the Italy (excluding Valle d’Aosta) will be considered in this market. Votes from outside Italy or from the Valle d’Aosta constituency will not count.\n\nIf the specified party runs as a joint list (lista congiunta / simbolo congiunto) with any other parties in the next Italian general elections, the total votes received by the joint list will be considered the votes received by the specified party for the purposes of this market.\n\nPercentage of total valid votes will be calculated by dividing the total number of valid votes received by the specified party or its joint list by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nThis market will not consider the valid vote totals of any coalition (coalizione) that the specified party joins. Only votes received by the specified party, or any applicable joint list, will count for resolution of this market.\n\nIf the specified party changes its name or otherwise reconstitutes in a way which functionally represents the same entity in the next Italian general elections, this market will consider the new name or reconstitution as an extension of the original specified party.\n\nIf Italy does not hold general elections, or the results of the next Italian general elections are not known definitively, by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified party disbands by, or otherwise does not contest the next Italian general elections, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Government (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/van-f1242bf6af.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/van-f1242bf6af.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T23:02:23.418817Z","end_date":"2027-12-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.81367564201355,"normalized_volume":2.03212833404541,"liquidity":813.178,"open_interest":20.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1370","slug":"italy","label":"Italy"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105284","slug":"futuro-nazionale","label":"Futuro Nazionale"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":20.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:45:20.269229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:45:20.269229Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T22:54:12.406160Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-futuro-nazionale-get-at-least-3-of-the-vote-in-the-next-italian-general-elections-20260609164706854","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,20.0,20.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2483766","event_id":"577960","slug":"will-futuro-nazionale-get-at-least-3-of-the-vote-in-the-next-italian-general-elections-20260609164706854","question":"Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Italy is scheduled to hold general elections by December 22, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Futuro Nazionale receives at least the listed percentage of total valid votes in the next Italian general elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly the vote totals from the Italy (excluding Valle d’Aosta) will be considered in this market. Votes from outside Italy or from the Valle d’Aosta constituency will not count.\n\nIf the specified party runs as a joint list (lista congiunta / simbolo congiunto) with any other parties in the next Italian general elections, the total votes received by the joint list will be considered the votes received by the specified party for the purposes of this market.\n\nPercentage of total valid votes will be calculated by dividing the total number of valid votes received by the specified party or its joint list by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nThis market will not consider the valid vote totals of any coalition (coalizione) that the specified party joins. Only votes received by the specified party, or any applicable joint list, will count for resolution of this market.\n\nIf the specified party changes its name or otherwise reconstitutes in a way which functionally represents the same entity in the next Italian general elections, this market will consider the new name or reconstitution as an extension of the original specified party.\n\nIf Italy does not hold general elections, or the results of the next Italian general elections are not known definitively, by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified party disbands by, or otherwise does not contest the next Italian general elections, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Government (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/van-f1242bf6af.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/van-f1242bf6af.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T22:48:46.289386Z","end_date":"2027-12-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.822256565093994,"normalized_volume":2.377615213394165,"liquidity":831.2451,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:45:44.058722Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:45:20.330745Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T22:54:12.450500Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-futuro-nazionale-get-at-least-3-of-the-vote-in-the-next-italian-general-elections-20260609164706854/will-futuro-nazionale-get-at-least-3-of-the-vote-in-the-next-italian-general-elections-20260609164706854","event_title":"Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.545,0.51,0.545,0.525,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.605,0.54,0.535,0.53,0.625,0.66,0.645,0.65]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/577960","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:59:08.884006Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?\" — top market at 65% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}