{"source":"polymarket","id":"578465","ticker":"social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644","slug":"social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644","title":"Social Security Insolvent by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify. \n\nA projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644-K24wl-T5BEm4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644-K24wl-T5BEm4.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T02:31:41.288931Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":199.56273199999964,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.714505672454834,"liquidity":3310.5104,"open_interest":120.497967,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.26,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T05:20:48.280911Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T05:20:48.280911Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T02:43:00.569357Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2487582","event_id":"578465","slug":"social-security-insolvent-by-december-31-2028-20260609210544391","question":"Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify. \n\nA projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.34,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T02:31:41.288931Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0989,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1541825532913208,"liquidity":885.0748,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T05:25:09.823117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T05:20:48.817235Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T02:43:00.590029Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644/social-security-insolvent-by-december-31-2028-20260609210544391","event_title":"Social Security Insolvent by...?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.26,0.245,0.25,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.265,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.255,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.225,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2487581","event_id":"578465","slug":"social-security-insolvent-by-december-31-2027-20260609210544390","question":"Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify. \n\nA projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T02:31:41.571969Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":198.46383199999963,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.865930557250977,"liquidity":2436.3156,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:50:10.282629Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T02:43:00.590029Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644/social-security-insolvent-by-december-31-2027-20260609210544390","event_title":"Social Security Insolvent by...?","chart_24h":[0.095,0.095,0.07,0.075,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/578465","as_of":"2026-07-16T05:37:27.159421Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Social Security Insolvent by...?\" — top market at 26% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}