{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/578465","as_of":"2026-10-24T08:37:06.583672Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Social Security Insolvent by...?\" — 2 markets; highest \"December 31, 2028\" at 16% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/578465","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644"},"source":"polymarket","id":"578465","ticker":"social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644","slug":"social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644","title":"Social Security Insolvent by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify. \n\nA projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644-K24wl-T5BEm4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644-K24wl-T5BEm4.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T02:31:41.288931Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1067.1449980000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.045038223266602,"liquidity":3261.0683,"open_interest":404.840834,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.16,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:26:47.907497Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:26:47.907497Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T02:43:00.569357Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644","chart_24h":[13.9,13.9,13.9,13.9,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2487582","event_id":"578465","slug":"social-security-insolvent-by-december-31-2028-20260609210544391","question":"Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2028","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify. \n\nA projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T02:31:41.288931Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":44.64831,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.283459663391113,"liquidity":911.1162,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T11:04:51.269362Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T11:04:51.269362Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T02:43:00.590029Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644/social-security-insolvent-by-december-31-2028-20260609210544391","event_title":"Social Security Insolvent by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2487581","event_id":"578465","slug":"social-security-insolvent-by-december-31-2027-20260609210544390","question":"Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify. \n\nA projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T02:31:41.571969Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1022.4966880000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-13.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.094104766845703,"liquidity":2382.5461,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:40:13.078650Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:40:13.078650Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T02:43:00.590029Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/social-security-insolvent-byptptpt-20260609210543644/social-security-insolvent-by-december-31-2027-20260609210544390","event_title":"Social Security Insolvent by...?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.115,0.125,0.115,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.12,0.115,0.125,0.115,0.125,0.115,0.125]}]}