{"source":"polymarket","id":"580337","ticker":"screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739","slug":"screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739","title":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nStatements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.\n\nRenewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739-E-UpLUXHckGa.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739-E-UpLUXHckGa.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:58:39.715114Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1381.1521,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.633770942687988,"liquidity":269.8453,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"570","slug":"pandemics","label":"Pandemics"},{"id":"105282","slug":"screwworm","label":"Screwworm"},{"id":"103037","slug":"climate-science","label":"Climate & Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.51,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:30:40.475755Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:30:40.475755Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:49.170719Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2491971","event_id":"580337","slug":"screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-december-31-20260609150611636","question":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nStatements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.\n\nRenewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-december-31-20260609150611636-8yBjoInW-pdq.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-december-31-20260609150611636-8yBjoInW-pdq.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.82,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T16:22:51.344260Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":110.4726,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:33:36.368974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:30:40.928388Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:49.295098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-december-31-20260609150611636","event_title":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.48,0.505,0.5,0.52,0.495,0.475,0.485,0.45,0.475,0.51,0.485,0.51,0.525,0.475,0.545,0.51,0.535,0.495,0.485,0.5,0.505,0.515,0.49,0.495,0.51,0.525,0.535,0.5,0.515,0.485,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.485]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2491969","event_id":"580337","slug":"screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-august-30-20260609150611634","question":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by August 30?","group_item_title":"August 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nStatements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.\n\nRenewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-august-30-20260609150611634-zZ8XhptIzhwS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-august-30-20260609150611634-zZ8XhptIzhwS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T16:06:44.343353Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.7752,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:33:36.368974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:30:40.928388Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:49.295098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-august-30-20260609150611634","event_title":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.465,0.5,0.495,0.505,0.515,0.48,0.525,0.525,0.535,0.45,0.48,0.475,0.505,0.49,0.525,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.495,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.515,0.48,0.47,0.505,0.49,0.495,0.47,0.48,0.515,0.49,0.5,0.515]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2491970","event_id":"580337","slug":"screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-october-31-20260609150611635","question":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nStatements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.\n\nRenewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-october-31-20260609150611635-qb1yG7OBAfH7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-october-31-20260609150611635-qb1yG7OBAfH7.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.485,0.515],"probability":0.485,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:58:39.715114Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000007,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":103.4133,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:33:36.368974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:30:40.928388Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:49.295098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-october-31-20260609150611635","event_title":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?","chart_24h":[0.56,0.565,0.565,0.555,0.56,0.555,0.555,0.585,0.555,0.525,0.57,0.56,0.555,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.525,0.495,0.465,0.505,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.525,0.5,0.465,0.485,0.515,0.465,0.485,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.455,0.47,0.53]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2491968","event_id":"580337","slug":"screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-june-30-20260609150611633","question":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nStatements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.\n\nRenewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-june-30-20260609150611633-6Dmzz-KRd2x0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-june-30-20260609150611633-6Dmzz-KRd2x0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-10T16:00:58.098409Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-04T11:36:22Z","volume":1381.1521,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.667591094970703,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-05T11:49:31.801613Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T09:44:12.367053Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T16:27:49.295098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-byptptpt-20260609150610739/screwworm-national-emergency-declared-by-june-30-20260609150611633","event_title":"Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/580337","as_of":"2026-07-16T04:36:47.487503Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?\" — top market at 51% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}