{"source":"polymarket","id":"580843","ticker":"japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026","slug":"japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026","title":"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. \n\nThe latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:18:19.257401Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":188.24,"volume_24hr":188.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.945499420166016,"normalized_volume":5.9814019203186035,"liquidity":2219.2577,"open_interest":149.168398,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"131","slug":"interest-rates","label":"interest rates"},{"id":"104421","slug":"bonds","label":"Bonds"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101522","slug":"japan","label":"Japan"},{"id":"102000","slug":"macro-indicators","label":"Macro Indicators"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"2.8-3.0%","top_outcome_probability":0.36,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.13,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":32.76,"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:55:46.580235Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T22:55:46.580235Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:17.821599Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,133.92,133.92,133.92,133.92,133.92,133.92,133.92,133.92,188.24,188.24,188.24,188.24,188.24,188.24,188.24,188.24],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2495042","event_id":"580843","slug":"will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt8-and-3pt0","question":"Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?","group_item_title":"2.8-3.0%","description":"This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. \n\nThe latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.56,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:58:50.177605Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32.76,"volume_24hr":32.76,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":32.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.228796005249023,"normalized_volume":3.1769473552703857,"liquidity":396.2417,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:42:58.828583Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T22:42:23.239276Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:18.268516Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt8-and-3pt0","event_title":"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026","chart_24h":[0.49,0.48,0.475,0.475,0.48,0.475,0.48,0.475,0.41,0.285,0.29,0.275,0.285,0.275,0.3,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.305,0.405,0.32,0.395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2495037","event_id":"580843","slug":"will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-less-than-2pt0","question":"Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0?","group_item_title":"<2.0%","description":"This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. \n\nThe latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.345,0.655],"probability":0.345,"spread":0.55,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:49:45.316806Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":63.78,"volume_24hr":63.78,"prob_24h_change":-0.14,"volume_24h_change":63.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.940043926239014,"normalized_volume":4.46254825592041,"liquidity":159.8493,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:56:25.713007Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T22:55:46.729854Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:18.268516Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-less-than-2pt0","event_title":"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026","chart_24h":[0.485,0.48,0.475,0.475,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.275,0.25,0.245,0.305,0.255,0.29,0.355,0.37,0.385,0.365,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.345,0.32]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2495043","event_id":"580843","slug":"will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-at-least-3pt0","question":"Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?","group_item_title":"3.0%+","description":"This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. \n\nThe latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.285,0.715],"probability":0.285,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:06:48.567212Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.66,"volume_24hr":60.66,"prob_24h_change":-0.20500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":60.66,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.800281047821045,"normalized_volume":4.357549667358398,"liquidity":141.7826,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:56:25.713007Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T22:55:46.729854Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:18.268516Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-at-least-3pt0","event_title":"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026","chart_24h":[0.49,0.485,0.48,0.485,0.48,0.475,0.48,0.445,0.51,0.255,0.275,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.465,0.41,0.415,0.41,0.405,0.415,0.375,0.3,0.335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2495040","event_id":"580843","slug":"will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt4-and-2pt6","question":"Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?","group_item_title":"2.4-2.6%","description":"This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. \n\nThe latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:00:07.594252Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.76,"volume_24hr":7.76,"prob_24h_change":-0.21499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":7.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.608080506324768,"normalized_volume":1.2080949544906616,"liquidity":377.5389,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:56:25.713007Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T22:55:46.729854Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:18.268516Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt4-and-2pt6","event_title":"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026","chart_24h":[0.49,0.475,0.495,0.485,0.48,0.475,0.48,0.415,0.44,0.28,0.27,0.285,0.28,0.305,0.265,0.465,0.41,0.425,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.285,0.18,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2495038","event_id":"580843","slug":"will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt0-and-2pt2","question":"Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%?","group_item_title":"2.0-2.2%","description":"This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. \n\nThe latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:43:56.950342Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.76,"volume_24hr":7.76,"prob_24h_change":-0.26,"volume_24h_change":7.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.608080506324768,"normalized_volume":1.2080949544906616,"liquidity":398.6054,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:56:25.713007Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T22:55:46.729854Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:18.268516Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt0-and-2pt2","event_title":"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026","chart_24h":[0.49,0.485,0.475,0.475,0.48,0.425,0.405,0.28,0.285,0.27,0.25,0.295,0.295,0.385,0.4,0.385,0.395,0.26,0.25,0.16,0.165,0.305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2495041","event_id":"580843","slug":"will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt6-and-2pt8","question":"Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?","group_item_title":"2.6-2.8%","description":"This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. \n\nThe latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:48:55.493824Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.76,"volume_24hr":7.76,"prob_24h_change":-0.30000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":7.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.608080506324768,"normalized_volume":1.2080949544906616,"liquidity":368.6529,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:56:25.713007Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T22:55:46.729854Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:18.268516Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt6-and-2pt8","event_title":"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026","chart_24h":[0.51,0.5,0.435,0.415,0.275,0.265,0.285,0.275,0.295,0.295,0.475,0.425,0.45,0.425,0.345,0.255,0.155,0.17,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2495039","event_id":"580843","slug":"will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt2-and-2pt4","question":"Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?","group_item_title":"2.2-2.4%","description":"This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. \n\nThe latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/japan-4b13d13918.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:49:50.994425Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.76,"volume_24hr":7.76,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":7.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.608080506324768,"normalized_volume":1.2080949544906616,"liquidity":393.3897,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T22:56:25.713007Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T22:55:46.729854Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:18.268516Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/japan-10y-bond-yield-end-of-2026/will-the-10-year-japanese-government-bond-yield-on-the-last-reported-day-of-2026-be-between-2pt2-and-2pt4","event_title":"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026","chart_24h":[0.49,0.485,0.475,0.475,0.48,0.42,0.415,0.27,0.285,0.265,0.245,0.3,0.29,0.385,0.39,0.38,0.395,0.345,0.2,0.115,0.165,0.205]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/580843","as_of":"2026-06-11T22:58:07.198149Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026\" — top market at 34% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}