{"source":"polymarket","id":"581068","ticker":"md-03-democratic-primary-winner-20260610184312288","slug":"md-03-democratic-primary-winner-20260610184312288","title":"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8625,0.1375],"probability":0.8625,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:10:38.356422Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":1188.806789,"volume_24hr":204.886307,"prob_24h_change":-0.10699999999999998,"volume_24h_change":204.886307,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.127256393432617,"normalized_volume":14.713107109069824,"liquidity":8292.04406,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:53:44.073244Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T03:53:44.073244Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:20.148158Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/md-03-democratic-primary-winner-20260610184312288/will-sarah-elfreth-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314280","event_title":"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.5225,0.522,0.5195,0.525,0.5305,0.524,0.5275,0.8745,0.8745,0.8745,0.8705,0.869,0.868,0.8705,0.8695,0.871,0.8095,0.809,0.8675,0.809,0.809,0.8085,0.8525,0.825,0.8295,0.856,0.861,0.872,0.8635]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2496408","event_id":"581068","slug":"will-austin-dyches-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314279","question":"Will Austin Dyches be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?","group_item_title":"Austin Dyches","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0385,0.9615],"probability":0.0385,"spread":0.061,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:43:27.996655Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":207.61,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.29250000000000004,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.051795244216919,"normalized_volume":8.367709159851074,"liquidity":1270.92762,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:53:44.073244Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T03:53:44.073244Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:20.148158Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/md-03-democratic-primary-winner-20260610184312288/will-robert-morrison-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314282","event_title":"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.343,0.175,0.374,0.3925,0.2175,0.495,0.46,0.4545,0.4475,0.4105,0.408,0.41,0.406,0.264,0.328,0.321,0.322,0.3625,0.3585,0.238,0.2065,0.2315,0.2225,0.2295,0.236,0.2275,0.24,0.2345,0.2325,0.122,0.086,0.0845,0.08,0.066,0.061,0.0295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2496410","event_id":"581068","slug":"will-sean-hammond-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314281","question":"Will Sean Hammond be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?","group_item_title":"Sean Hammond","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:18:06.257605Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":188.674,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.11349999999999999,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.207953453063965,"normalized_volume":8.072164535522461,"liquidity":948.6467,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:53:44.073244Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T03:53:44.073244Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:20.148158Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/md-03-democratic-primary-winner-20260610184312288/will-sean-hammond-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314281","event_title":"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.1745,0.0855,0.3425,0.3405,0.2895,0.2165,0.47,0.4725,0.467,0.458,0.4515,0.449,0.4305,0.173,0.473,0.415,0.358,0.428,0.3625,0.3015,0.2465,0.286,0.398,0.1935,0.299,0.4475,0.368,0.3465,0.262,0.269,0.0935,0.089,0.0765,0.0545,0.062,0.049]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2496407","event_id":"581068","slug":"will-jennifer-cross-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314278","question":"Will Jennifer Cross be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?","group_item_title":"Jennifer Cross","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.034,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:10:35.299752Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":201.76912500000003,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.026499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":-10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.051795244216919,"normalized_volume":8.278953552246094,"liquidity":1168.54011,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:53:44.073244Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T03:53:44.073244Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:20.148158Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/md-03-democratic-primary-winner-20260610184312288/will-jennifer-cross-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314278","event_title":"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.009,0.0035,0.019,0.012,0.0075,0.5005,0.02,0.0165,0.0105,0.0025,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.253,0.02,0.015,0.1425,0.0655,0.035,0.019,0.012,0.007,0.3095,0.029,0.0205,0.017,0.013,0.006,0.013,0.007,0.0465,0.019,0.0135,0.008]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2496422","event_id":"581068","slug":"will-other-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314293","question":"Will Other be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T20:33:30.524584Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:40:46.663099Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:20.148158Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:12:20.148158Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/md-03-democratic-primary-winner-20260610184312288/will-other-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-md-03-20260610184314293","event_title":"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/581068","as_of":"2026-06-17T03:54:26.128966Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 86% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}