{"source":"polymarket","id":"581316","ticker":"ut-02-republican-primary-winner-20260610201730541","slug":"ut-02-republican-primary-winner-20260610201730541","title":"UT-02 Republican Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ut-01-democratic-primary-winner-UrRWnHnGDcH5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ut-01-democratic-primary-winner-UrRWnHnGDcH5.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:38:13.024512Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":4758.233208,"volume_24hr":3741.2379149999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.015029907226562,"normalized_volume":15.302239418029785,"liquidity":12755.14963,"open_interest":2968.2198719999997,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"1522","slug":"utah","label":"utah"},{"id":"514","slug":"congress","label":"Congress"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"188","slug":"uptspt-politics","label":"U.S. Politics"},{"id":"103961","slug":"nevada-primary","label":"Nevada Primary"},{"id":"105187","slug":"june-23-primaries","label":"June 23 Primaries"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Blake Moore","top_outcome_probability":0.928,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.42400000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2040.068726,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T06:36:02.910501Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T06:36:02.910501Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:41:35.340182Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ut-02-republican-primary-winner-20260610201730541","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.76,20.76,20.76,20.76,20.76,20.76,20.76,60.760000000000005,60.760000000000005,60.760000000000005,340.851603,455.811197,532.915069,532.915069,639.49286,639.49286,3634.4685829999994,3675.5685829999998,3675.5685829999998,3675.5685829999998,3741.2379149999997],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2497659","event_id":"581316","slug":"will-blake-moore-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ut-02-20260610201639593","question":"Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?","group_item_title":"Blake Moore","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.928,0.072],"probability":0.928,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:22:50.426064Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":2712.1687259999994,"volume_24hr":2040.068726,"prob_24h_change":0.42400000000000004,"volume_24h_change":2040.068726,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.662403106689453,"normalized_volume":18.33782386779785,"liquidity":3267.62896,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T06:21:38.918323Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T06:05:19.362938Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:41:35.350866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ut-02-republican-primary-winner-20260610201730541/will-blake-moore-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ut-02-20260610201639593","event_title":"UT-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.504,0.502,0.5065,0.503,0.501,0.5035,0.502,0.502,0.5035,0.504,0.503,0.501,0.5015,0.953,0.958,0.957,0.958,0.958,0.9575,0.958,0.9555,0.9525,0.958,0.952,0.486,0.9175,0.9055,0.915,0.9155,0.927,0.927,0.928,0.928,0.928]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2497658","event_id":"581316","slug":"will-karianne-lisonbee-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ut-02-20260610201639592","question":"Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?","group_item_title":"Karianne Lisonbee","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0675,0.9325],"probability":0.0675,"spread":0.011,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:19:34.185317Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":2046.0644819999998,"volume_24hr":1701.1691889999995,"prob_24h_change":0.038000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":1701.1691889999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.689598083496094,"normalized_volume":17.054243087768555,"liquidity":6571.22598,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T06:21:38.918323Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T03:39:10.650277Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:41:35.350866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ut-02-republican-primary-winner-20260610201730541/will-karianne-lisonbee-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ut-02-20260610201639592","event_title":"UT-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0295,0.4955,0.496,0.4975,0.497,0.497,0.4935,0.4975,0.499,0.4985,0.499,0.4985,0.498,0.051,0.05,0.2685,0.041,0.501,0.051,0.0455,0.4985,0.499,0.4985,0.0215,0.092,0.084,0.0825,0.0825,0.0825,0.0685,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2497670","event_id":"581316","slug":"will-other-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ut-02-20260610201639604","question":"Will Other be the Republican nominee for UT-02?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T21:26:09.190407Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T04:25:39.857264Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:41:35.350866Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T21:41:35.350866Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ut-02-republican-primary-winner-20260610201730541/will-other-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ut-02-20260610201639604","event_title":"UT-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/581316","as_of":"2026-06-17T06:36:29.798488Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UT-02 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 93% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}