{"source":"polymarket","id":"585449","ticker":"who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373","slug":"who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373","title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:38:31.846130Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7268.080438,"volume_24hr":7268.080438,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.12620735168457,"normalized_volume":17.124591827392578,"liquidity":54388.19788,"open_interest":4645.413654,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"415","slug":"peace-deal","label":"Peace Deal"},{"id":"100238","slug":"geopolitcs","label":"geopolitcs"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Abbas Araghchi","top_outcome_probability":0.82,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.31999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":532.9227500000001,"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.085277Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.085277Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.086825Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,28.5079,76.6779,76.6779,77.9279,156.0179,157.069975,261.389975,433.069975,472.069975,475.05251100000004,475.05251100000004,547.472511,637.250121,673.155453,729.0554529999999,774.3554529999999,774.3554529999999,774.3554529999999,1078.355453,1572.365453,1729.265453,2312.932118,4557.7167979999995,5805.184436,5817.094435999999,6725.850464,7268.080438],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512441","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-abbas-araghchi-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950073","question":"Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Abbas Araghchi","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:36.069510Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":532.9227500000001,"volume_24hr":532.9227500000001,"prob_24h_change":0.31999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":532.9227500000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.713937759399414,"normalized_volume":10.117127418518066,"liquidity":7533.1417,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-abbas-araghchi-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950073","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.43,0.455,0.43,0.42,0.445,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.415,0.435,0.425,0.425,0.215,0.225,0.44,0.53,0.82]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512449","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-shehbaz-sharif-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950081","question":"Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Shehbaz Sharif","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:25.214553Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":653.238213,"volume_24hr":653.238213,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":653.238213,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.68159008026123,"normalized_volume":10.782474517822266,"liquidity":162.9838,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Pakistan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-shehbaz-sharif-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950081","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.455,0.43,0.435,0.455,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.435,0.435,0.43,0.42,0.435,0.43,0.425,0.25,0.575,0.55,0.765,0.77,0.64]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512436","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-jd-vance-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950068","question":"Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"JD Vance","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.555,0.445],"probability":0.555,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:24.495064Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":983.8254890000001,"volume_24hr":983.8254890000001,"prob_24h_change":0.05500000000000005,"volume_24h_change":983.8254890000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.722457885742188,"normalized_volume":12.185750007629395,"liquidity":1201.7289,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:33.955300Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-jd-vance-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950068","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.555,0.575,0.555,0.565,0.56,0.565,0.56,0.565,0.565,0.39,0.545,0.555,0.535,0.55,0.545,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.48,0.485,0.52,0.525,0.555]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512446","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-mohamed-bin-zayed-al-nahyan-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950078","question":"Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:18.307441Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.349854,"volume_24hr":94.349854,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":94.349854,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.748868942260742,"normalized_volume":5.328029632568359,"liquidity":230.8019,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","United Arab Emirates"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T19:58:40.444344Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T19:58:40.444344Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-mohamed-bin-zayed-al-nahyan-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950078","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.445,0.465,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.445,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.435,0.56,0.415,0.53,0.525,0.545,0.545,0.555,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512448","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-recep-tayyip-erdogan-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950080","question":"Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Recep Tayyip Erdogan","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.53,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:33.024613Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":128.860887,"volume_24hr":128.860887,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":128.860887,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.834904670715332,"normalized_volume":6.074775218963623,"liquidity":149.2942,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Turkey"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-recep-tayyip-erdogan-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950080","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.445,0.455,0.425,0.415,0.43,0.43,0.425,0.415,0.41,0.415,0.41,0.41,0.415,0.445,0.37,0.42,0.345,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512435","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-donald-trump-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950067","question":"Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:15.276065Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":519.687679,"volume_24hr":519.687679,"prob_24h_change":-0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":519.687679,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.596555709838867,"normalized_volume":10.036417961120605,"liquidity":239.0672,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:33.955300Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-donald-trump-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950067","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.425,0.45,0.44,0.445,0.41,0.47,0.405,0.41,0.4,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.43,0.435,0.495,0.495,0.62,0.53,0.355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512451","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-mishal-al-ahmad-al-jaber-al-sabah-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950083","question":"Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.285,0.715],"probability":0.285,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:18.574258Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":156.85202499999997,"volume_24hr":156.85202499999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.21500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":156.85202499999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.557856559753418,"normalized_volume":6.571867942810059,"liquidity":440.3814,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Kuwait"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-mishal-al-ahmad-al-jaber-al-sabah-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950083","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.445,0.425,0.465,0.425,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.445,0.43,0.42,0.435,0.44,0.435,0.43,0.46,0.27,0.285]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512442","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950074","question":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Mojtaba Khamenei","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:16.315691Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":325.0,"volume_24hr":325.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":325.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.49299144744873,"normalized_volume":8.590031623840332,"liquidity":1269.6514,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-mojtaba-khamenei-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950074","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.27,0.285,0.26,0.235,0.23,0.23,0.225,0.215,0.205,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.22,0.215,0.28]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512453","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-abdel-fattah-el-sisi-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950085","question":"Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Abdel Fattah el-Sisi","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:30.422552Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":184.00753500000002,"volume_24hr":184.00753500000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":184.00753500000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.166743278503418,"normalized_volume":6.9905314445495605,"liquidity":106.3141,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Egypt"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-abdel-fattah-el-sisi-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950085","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.385,0.365,0.39,0.365,0.355,0.365,0.345,0.325,0.335,0.34,0.33,0.335,0.31,0.34,0.335,0.3,0.27,0.28]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512450","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950082","question":"Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:28.088594Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":489.61290199999996,"volume_24hr":489.61290199999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":489.61290199999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.320210456848145,"normalized_volume":9.846405982971191,"liquidity":107.45,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Bahrain"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950082","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.445,0.465,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.415,0.405,0.42,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.32,0.255,0.27]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512452","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-king-abdullah-ii-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950084","question":"Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"King Abdullah II","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.32,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:19.306072Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":278.280688,"volume_24hr":278.280688,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":278.280688,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.834057807922363,"normalized_volume":8.136957168579102,"liquidity":173.7349,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Jordan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-king-abdullah-ii-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950084","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.455,0.435,0.43,0.43,0.455,0.43,0.43,0.435,0.44,0.43,0.415,0.405,0.395,0.41,0.405,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.345,0.37,0.32,0.325,0.34,0.25,0.27]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512445","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-mohammed-bin-salman-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950077","question":"Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Mohammed bin Salman","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:27.021622Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":95.444443,"volume_24hr":95.444443,"prob_24h_change":-0.245,"volume_24h_change":95.444443,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.787731170654297,"normalized_volume":5.354751110076904,"liquidity":166.0493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Saudi Arabia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T19:59:10.167196Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T19:58:40.444344Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-mohammed-bin-salman-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950077","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.445,0.435,0.455,0.435,0.44,0.42,0.435,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.415,0.415,0.425,0.41,0.43,0.29,0.275,0.275,0.285,0.275,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512437","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-marco-rubio-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950069","question":"Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Marco Rubio","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:22.219954Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":610.704122,"volume_24hr":610.704122,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":610.704122,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.358092308044434,"normalized_volume":10.560040473937988,"liquidity":7309.1758,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-marco-rubio-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950069","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.455,0.445,0.43,0.455,0.44,0.465,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.42,0.435,0.435,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.39,0.445,0.48,0.38,0.385,0.445,0.535,0.4,0.13,0.125,0.115,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512440","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-masoud-pezeshkian-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950072","question":"Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Masoud Pezeshkian","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:30.157281Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":261.290321,"volume_24hr":261.290321,"prob_24h_change":-0.4,"volume_24h_change":261.290321,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.571770668029785,"normalized_volume":7.956611156463623,"liquidity":7028.3563,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T19:59:10.167196Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T19:58:40.444344Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-masoud-pezeshkian-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950072","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.43,0.455,0.445,0.45,0.43,0.445,0.415,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.205,0.14,0.105,0.105,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512439","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-steve-witkoff-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950071","question":"Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Steve Witkoff","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:21.401005Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":680.7685500000001,"volume_24hr":680.76855,"prob_24h_change":-0.42,"volume_24h_change":680.76855,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.88161563873291,"normalized_volume":10.92000961303711,"liquidity":8084.4035,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T19:59:10.167196Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T19:58:40.444344Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-steve-witkoff-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950071","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.43,0.455,0.39,0.44,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.415,0.39,0.395,0.385,0.385,0.175,0.175,0.085,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512444","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-benjamin-netanyahu-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950076","question":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Benjamin Netanyahu","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:34.102684Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":448.5100569999999,"volume_24hr":448.5100569999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.425,"volume_24h_change":448.5100569999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.918596267700195,"normalized_volume":9.570261001586914,"liquidity":10574.8466,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T19:30:52.813654Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T19:30:26.276581Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-benjamin-netanyahu-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950076","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.405,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.225,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.185,0.095,0.13,0.125,0.08,0.075,0.085,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512447","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-sheikh-tamim-bin-hamad-al-thani-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950079","question":"Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:34.366284Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":305.239309,"volume_24hr":305.239309,"prob_24h_change":-0.43,"volume_24h_change":305.239309,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.22446346282959,"normalized_volume":8.405394554138184,"liquidity":85.7571,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran","Qatar"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T20:13:13.543080Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T20:12:44.110425Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-sheikh-tamim-bin-hamad-al-thani-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950079","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.43,0.455,0.445,0.42,0.43,0.445,0.415,0.405,0.43,0.435,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.23,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512438","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-pete-hegseth-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950070","question":"Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Pete Hegseth","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.041,0.959],"probability":0.041,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:31.252150Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":222.05790000000002,"volume_24hr":222.05790000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.459,"volume_24h_change":222.05790000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.908296585083008,"normalized_volume":7.50041389465332,"liquidity":7675.92304,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T19:59:10.167196Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T19:58:40.444344Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-pete-hegseth-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950070","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.165,0.055,0.055,0.05,0.045,0.05,0.035,0.041]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2512443","event_id":"585449","slug":"will-ali-larijani-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950075","question":"Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","group_item_title":"Ali Larijani","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.035,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-12T00:26:24.232797Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":568.462258,"volume_24hr":568.4622579999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.46950000000000003,"volume_24h_change":568.4622579999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.017444610595703,"normalized_volume":10.325815200805664,"liquidity":13258.96184,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T19:59:10.167196Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T19:58:40.444344Z","added_at":"2026-06-12T00:34:31.099551Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373/will-ali-larijani-sign-a-uptspt-x-iran-deal-by-july-31-20260611235950075","event_title":"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.415,0.39,0.05,0.05,0.055,0.045,0.045,0.031,0.031,0.0315,0.032,0.034,0.0345,0.031,0.0305]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/585449","as_of":"2026-06-12T20:16:23.451344Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?\" — top market at 56% probability across 19 outcomes","source_url":null}}