{"source":"polymarket","id":"59301","ticker":"india-strike-on-pakistan-by","slug":"india-strike-on-pakistan-by","title":"India strike on Pakistan by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-14T13:04:29.818289Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":951654.0406190007,"volume_24hr":90.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.216971397399902,"normalized_volume":41.605464935302734,"liquidity":5351.6243,"open_interest":19540.999647,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"102083","slug":"india-pakistan","label":"India-Pakistan"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.25,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-112.40381199999999,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:55:57.428969Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:55:57.428969Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/india-strike-on-pakistan-by","chart_24h":[194.403812,210.403812,210.403812,210.403812,210.403812,210.403812,210.403812,210.403812,215.403812,223.403812,223.403812,223.403812,213.838025,219.838025,205.178025,197.178025,197.178025,197.178025,197.178025,180.678025,180.678025,177.678025,177.678025,177.678025,212.678025,207.678025,207.678025,199.678025,150.0,95.0,95.0,95.0,90.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"677356","event_id":"59301","slug":"will-india-strike-pakistan-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-13T16:19:06.534289Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":288372.4219260008,"volume_24hr":90.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-112.40381199999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.434393882751465,"normalized_volume":40.54270935058594,"liquidity":5231.8941,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["India","Pakistan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:44.880245Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:16.210992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/india-strike-on-pakistan-by/will-india-strike-pakistan-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"India strike on Pakistan by...?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"635263","event_id":"59301","slug":"will-india-strike-pakistan-by-oct-31","question":"Will India strike Pakistan by Oct 31?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-14T13:00:25.380125Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-11-01T07:27:16Z","volume":193424.595256,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.00785446166992,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/india-strike-on-pakistan-by/will-india-strike-pakistan-by-oct-31","event_title":"India strike on Pakistan by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"635264","event_id":"59301","slug":"will-india-strike-pakistan-by-dec-31-394-882","question":"Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-14T13:00:25.126000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T08:46:51Z","volume":207522.575603,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.44845962524414,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/india-strike-on-pakistan-by/will-india-strike-pakistan-by-dec-31-394-882","event_title":"India strike on Pakistan by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"676386","event_id":"59301","slug":"will-india-strike-pakistan-by-november-14","question":"Will India strike Pakistan by November 14?","group_item_title":"November 14","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by November 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.002,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-11T16:03:09.532074Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-11-15T07:06:42Z","volume":104914.725235,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.2836799621582,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/india-strike-on-pakistan-by/will-india-strike-pakistan-by-november-14","event_title":"India strike on Pakistan by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"676388","event_id":"59301","slug":"will-india-strike-pakistan-by-november-30","question":"Will India strike Pakistan by November 30?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-11T16:03:11.041910Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-12-01T07:07:36Z","volume":65929.586439,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.58378028869629,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/india-strike-on-pakistan-by/will-india-strike-pakistan-by-november-30","event_title":"India strike on Pakistan by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"677352","event_id":"59301","slug":"will-india-strike-pakistan-by-march-31","question":"Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?","group_item_title":"March 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/india-strike-on-pakistan-before-august-x85XQfgodtQ_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-13T16:19:06.279319Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T08:10:15Z","volume":91490.13615999989,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.4764518737793,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/india-strike-on-pakistan-by/will-india-strike-pakistan-by-march-31","event_title":"India strike on Pakistan by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/59301","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:05:19.074584Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"India strike on Pakistan by...?\" — top market at 25% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}