{"source":"polymarket","id":"599237","ticker":"will-vance-shake-hands-with-an-iranian-official-by-june-20-20260615195642306","slug":"will-vance-shake-hands-with-an-iranian-official-by-june-20-20260615195642306","title":"Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. \n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\n\nThe resolution source will be photo or video.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vanceshake-4483986f7c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vanceshake-4483986f7c.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T00:25:36.588070Z","end_date":"2026-06-20T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2563.9713310000047,"volume_24hr":2444.511819999993,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.0380802154541,"normalized_volume":13.142355918884277,"liquidity":4098.7487,"open_interest":1558.633093,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"100285","slug":"vance","label":"Vance"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.37500000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2325.052308999993,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T11:16:33.977448Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T11:16:33.977448Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T00:11:52.690251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-vance-shake-hands-with-an-iranian-official-by-june-20-20260615195642306","chart_24h":[119.459511,119.459511,145.459511,145.459511,179.572451,179.572451,209.484214,209.484214,209.484214,209.484214,243.594214,243.594214,474.314214,474.314214,474.314214,474.314214,474.314214,474.314214,474.314214,474.314214,542.554214,832.554214,832.554214,882.554214,891.538783,841.538783,841.538783,841.538783,951.738783,952.098783,1083.0468729999975,1141.5468729999975,1365.008397999998,1524.3960539999975,1698.5724969999974,1698.5724969999974,2290.7450279999957,2444.511819999993],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2559049","event_id":"599237","slug":"will-vance-shake-hands-with-an-iranian-official-by-june-20-20260615195642306","question":"Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. \n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\n\nThe resolution source will be photo or video.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vanceshake-4483986f7c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vanceshake-4483986f7c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T00:05:01.696547Z","end_date":"2026-06-20T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2563.9713310000047,"volume_24hr":2444.511819999993,"prob_24h_change":-0.37500000000000006,"volume_24h_change":2325.052308999993,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.549575805664062,"normalized_volume":18.078176498413086,"liquidity":5689.9516,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T11:17:29.815050Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T11:16:34.490207Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T00:11:52.697927Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-vance-shake-hands-with-an-iranian-official-by-june-20-20260615195642306/will-vance-shake-hands-with-an-iranian-official-by-june-20-20260615195642306","event_title":"Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?","chart_24h":[0.79,0.77,0.775,0.78,0.725,0.73,0.735,0.725,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.725,0.435,0.485,0.455,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.575,0.595,0.6,0.595,0.625,0.605,0.535,0.5,0.475,0.51,0.52,0.555,0.49,0.415]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/599237","as_of":"2026-06-17T11:23:00.945347Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?\" — top market at 42% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}