{"source":"polymarket","id":"605662","ticker":"spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803","slug":"spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803","title":"SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?","description":"If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803-ca7bdpvYs-IQ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803-ca7bdpvYs-IQ.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T19:00:54.947427Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1043.79699,"volume_24hr":5.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9943568110466003,"normalized_volume":10.099889755249023,"liquidity":9137.03314,"open_interest":974.8303250000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1325","slug":"space","label":"Space"},{"id":"63","slug":"spacex","label":"SpaceX"},{"id":"138","slug":"launch","label":"launch"},{"id":"373","slug":"starship","label":"starship"},{"id":"425","slug":"nasa","label":"nasa"},{"id":"100346","slug":"florida","label":"Florida"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"},{"id":"75","slug":"space-exploration","label":"space exploration"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.77,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-26T04:52:13.549347Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-26T04:52:13.549347Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:26:43.165331Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803","chart_24h":[44.5,44.5,44.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,49.5,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,21.12,5.0,5.0,5.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2584973","event_id":"605662","slug":"will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-december-31-2026-20260617154758584","question":"Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T19:00:54.947427Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":941.685587,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-11.120000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0726428031921387,"normalized_volume":13.001662254333496,"liquidity":3144.7638,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-26T04:52:13.942028Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-26T04:52:13.942028Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:26:43.191251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803/will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-december-31-2026-20260617154758584","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?","chart_24h":[0.61,0.61,0.61,0.625,0.63,0.61,0.625,0.615,0.64,0.615,0.64,0.62,0.625,0.615,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.625,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.605,0.61,0.625,0.595,0.605,0.61,0.615,0.595,0.615,0.585]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2584974","event_id":"605662","slug":"will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-june-30-2027-20260617154758585","question":"Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2027","description":"If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.23],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T19:10:24.229439Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":58.375061,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.622992038726807,"liquidity":1259.2025,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-26T03:56:54.177880Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T23:08:09.757512Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:26:43.191251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803/will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-june-30-2027-20260617154758585","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?","chart_24h":[0.745,0.755,0.76,0.755,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.765,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2584972","event_id":"605662","slug":"will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-august-31-2026-20260617154758583","question":"Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31, 2026","description":"If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0335,0.9665],"probability":0.0335,"spread":0.025,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T20:20:35.071316Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.736342,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.005499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-28.38,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.004288196563721,"liquidity":4493.67474,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T20:24:20.684013Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T17:23:04.926623Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:26:43.191251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-florida-launch-by-20260617154757803/will-the-spacex-starship-launch-from-florida-by-august-31-2026-20260617154758583","event_title":"SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?","chart_24h":[0.039,0.038,0.0395,0.0365,0.0395,0.039,0.035,0.037,0.0375,0.04,0.0395,0.0385,0.038,0.037,0.0345,0.0335,0.0335,0.0335,0.0335]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/605662","as_of":"2026-06-26T04:54:42.249894Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?\" — top market at 59% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}