{"source":"polymarket","id":"609950","ticker":"progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860","slug":"progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860","title":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?","description":"This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860-zSGJSSly5UHb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860-zSGJSSly5UHb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-18T22:59:21.593719Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":178.25,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.649345397949219,"liquidity":205.9803,"open_interest":131.91,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"105161","slug":"insurance","label":"Insurance"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"105442","slug":"progressive","label":"Progressive"},{"id":"104548","slug":"kpis","label":"KPIs"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"<86%","top_outcome_probability":0.545,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-24T10:09:25.227913Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T10:09:25.227913Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T23:05:33.318285Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2600273","event_id":"609950","slug":"progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-86-20260618154842185","question":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?","group_item_title":"<86%","description":"This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-18T22:59:21.593719Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.0327868461608887,"liquidity":30.1728,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T10:10:37.838481Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T10:09:25.469140Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T23:05:33.360907Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-86-20260618154842185","event_title":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.445,0.45,0.475,0.475,0.43,0.425,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.415,0.485,0.52,0.435,0.495,0.47,0.485,0.495,0.525,0.485,0.49,0.445,0.44,0.435,0.495,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2600275","event_id":"609950","slug":"progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-89-92-20260618154842187","question":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 89%-92%?","group_item_title":"89%-92%","description":"This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-18T22:59:32.869270Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.0327868461608887,"liquidity":37.3026,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T10:10:37.838481Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T10:09:25.469140Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T23:05:33.360907Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-89-92-20260618154842187","event_title":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.475,0.425,0.465,0.48,0.425,0.415,0.445,0.455,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.475,0.455,0.485,0.45,0.425,0.47,0.405,0.475,0.54,0.405,0.46,0.485,0.41,0.405,0.43,0.42,0.455,0.45,0.465,0.49,0.445,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2600274","event_id":"609950","slug":"progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-86-89-20260618154842186","question":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%?","group_item_title":"86%-89%","description":"This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.51,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-18T22:59:27.672842Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.110592842102051,"liquidity":46.9915,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T10:10:37.838481Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T10:09:25.469140Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T23:05:33.360907Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-86-89-20260618154842186","event_title":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.405,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.435,0.415,0.405,0.435,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.395,0.42,0.39,0.395,0.425,0.365,0.445,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.345,0.445,0.445,0.39,0.43,0.445,0.405,0.44,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2600276","event_id":"609950","slug":"progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-92-95-20260618154842188","question":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 92%-95%?","group_item_title":"92%-95%","description":"This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-18T22:59:35.705222Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71.25,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.078001499176025,"liquidity":97.8892,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T09:41:14.329543Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T09:10:56.072181Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T23:05:33.360907Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-92-95-20260618154842188","event_title":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?","chart_24h":[0.185,0.18,0.165,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.19,0.19,0.185,0.18,0.185,0.175,0.18,0.185,0.175,0.185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2600277","event_id":"609950","slug":"progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-95-20260618154842189","question":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 95%+?","group_item_title":"95%+","description":"This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-18T22:59:39.802232Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.348576545715332,"liquidity":45.0002,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T09:12:20.858971Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T09:10:56.072181Z","added_at":"2026-06-18T23:05:33.360907Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-20260618154838860/progressive-pgr-q2-combined-ratio-95-20260618154842189","event_title":"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.19,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.155,0.16,0.16,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.17]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/609950","as_of":"2026-06-24T10:23:10.260528Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?\" — top market at 55% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}