{"source":"polymarket","id":"627838","ticker":"louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907","slug":"louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907","title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/louisiana-republican-senate-primary-winner-rCix8V0gp93j.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/louisiana-republican-senate-primary-winner-rCix8V0gp93j.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:46:19.348865Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1036.08,"volume_24hr":762.4899999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.230463981628418,"normalized_volume":10.09195613861084,"liquidity":29117.22818,"open_interest":853.689999,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104980","slug":"louisiana","label":"Louisiana"},{"id":"24","slug":"us-election","label":"USA Election"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"105464","slug":"june-27-primaries","label":"June 27 Primaries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-25T12:13:10.968891Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T12:13:10.968891Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.407446Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907","chart_24h":[273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,273.59,1001.0799999999999,1001.0799999999999,966.0799999999999,966.0799999999999,966.0799999999999,966.0799999999999,966.0799999999999,762.4899999999999,762.4899999999999,762.4899999999999,762.4899999999999,762.4899999999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2662166","event_id":"627838","slug":"will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-more-than-25-20260623163644112","question":"Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by more than 25%?","group_item_title":"Letlow 25%+","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0345,0.9655],"probability":0.0345,"spread":0.027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:46:19.348865Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":447.53999999999996,"volume_24hr":374.94,"prob_24h_change":-0.1955,"volume_24h_change":302.34000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.548372268676758,"normalized_volume":10.334553718566895,"liquidity":15959.51994,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T11:11:45.421230Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T08:53:23.930091Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907/will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-more-than-25-20260623163644112","event_title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.23,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.105,0.145,0.11,0.115,0.145,0.12,0.12,0.125,0.125,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.145,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.135,0.105,0.165,0.115,0.0685,0.067,0.056,0.034,0.034,0.0345,0.0345,0.0345,0.0345,0.0345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2662167","event_id":"627838","slug":"will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-2025-20260623163644113","question":"Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by 20–25%?","group_item_title":"Letlow 20–25%","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0275,0.9725],"probability":0.0275,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:46:21.415612Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":438.53999999999996,"volume_24hr":387.54999999999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.33749999999999997,"volume_24h_change":336.55999999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.688403129577637,"normalized_volume":10.2660551071167,"liquidity":9233.0962,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T11:42:34.252829Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T08:53:23.930091Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907/will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-2025-20260623163644113","event_title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.365,0.165,0.24,0.31,0.32,0.135,0.3,0.335,0.12,0.33,0.1,0.215,0.34,0.265,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.345,0.365,0.165,0.3,0.115,0.235,0.245,0.35,0.29,0.069,0.0545,0.069,0.0275,0.0275,0.0275,0.0275,0.0275,0.0275,0.0275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2662173","event_id":"627838","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-20260623163644119","question":"Will another outcome occur in the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:46:57.967256Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T03:38:51.469787Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-20260623163644119","event_title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2662170","event_id":"627838","slug":"will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-510-20260623163644116","question":"Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Letlow 5–10%","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.68,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:46:39.443528Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21,"volume_24h_change":-30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.268705368041992,"liquidity":607.2686,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T12:14:05.188487Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T12:13:12.218730Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907/will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-510-20260623163644116","event_title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.16,0.385,0.375,0.415,0.25,0.27,0.155,0.405,0.24,0.12,0.205,0.17,0.255,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.355,0.285,0.245,0.25,0.135,0.355,0.235,0.335,0.115,0.385,0.38,0.375,0.38,0.355,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.375,0.375,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2662169","event_id":"627838","slug":"will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-1015-20260623163644115","question":"Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Letlow 10–15%","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.32,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:47:21.738352Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.268705368041992,"liquidity":615.8404,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T11:42:34.252829Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T11:25:41.085994Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907/will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-1015-20260623163644115","event_title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.305,0.32,0.265,0.3,0.24,0.195,0.215,0.26,0.21,0.215,0.19,0.195,0.195,0.305,0.28,0.295,0.285,0.205,0.195,0.245,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.265,0.18,0.18,0.315,0.295,0.29,0.24,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2662168","event_id":"627838","slug":"will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-1520-20260623163644114","question":"Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Letlow 15–20%","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.33,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:46:27.336276Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.268705368041992,"liquidity":592.0073,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T11:42:34.252829Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T08:53:23.930091Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907/will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-1520-20260623163644114","event_title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.29,0.365,0.095,0.315,0.28,0.325,0.185,0.195,0.265,0.34,0.255,0.195,0.18,0.205,0.31,0.285,0.135,0.395,0.38,0.225,0.135,0.19,0.275,0.31,0.205,0.315,0.225,0.4,0.385,0.29,0.185,0.255,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2662172","event_id":"627838","slug":"will-john-fleming-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-20260623163644118","question":"Will John Fleming win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff?","group_item_title":"Fleming Wins","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:47:15.861002Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":-30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.268705368041992,"liquidity":631.9863,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T09:09:44.041632Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T08:53:23.930091Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907/will-john-fleming-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-20260623163644118","event_title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.095,0.115,0.115,0.12,0.115,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.115,0.125,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.135,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2662171","event_id":"627838","slug":"will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-less-than-5-20260623163644117","question":"Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Letlow <5%","description":"The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:46:44.450652Z","end_date":"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.268705368041992,"liquidity":123.9276,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T09:56:58.795666Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T08:53:23.930091Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:53:47.430453Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260623163642907/will-julia-letlow-win-the-louisiana-senate-republican-primary-runoff-by-less-than-5-20260623163644117","event_title":"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.085,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.085,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/627838","as_of":"2026-06-25T12:19:12.485174Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory\" — top market at 3% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}