{"source":"polymarket","id":"637076","ticker":"how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178","slug":"how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178","title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T15:19:54.163896Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2244.735571,"volume_24hr":565.194851,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.005949020385742,"normalized_volume":12.29964542388916,"liquidity":16612.40237,"open_interest":1899.8554869999998,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"101998","slug":"natural-disaster","label":"Natural Disaster"},{"id":"100184","slug":"earthquake","label":"earthquake"},{"id":"103038","slug":"earthquakes","label":"Earthquakes"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0","top_outcome_probability":0.545,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.13500000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":25.015466999999973,"updated_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:31.940936Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:31.940936Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T15:36:34.848025Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178","chart_24h":[373.151366,368.151366,368.151366,368.151366,368.151366,363.023162,322.113162,322.113162,322.113162,277.253162,277.253162,177.253162,177.253162,169.253162,169.253162,213.336668,213.366668,213.366668,213.366668,211.041088,179.041088,179.041088,179.041088,184.24942,184.24942,184.24942,150.589699,150.589699,150.589699,150.589699,150.589699,122.189699,122.189699,120.550356,220.550356,220.550356,470.550356,470.550356,470.550356,470.550356,470.550356,470.550356,415.194851,530.194851],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2692515","event_id":"637076","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127162","question":"Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?","group_item_title":"0","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T15:19:54.163896Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":953.5511970000001,"volume_24hr":240.20833199999998,"prob_24h_change":0.13500000000000006,"volume_24h_change":25.015466999999973,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.635228157043457,"normalized_volume":13.646415710449219,"liquidity":2523.8449,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T07:26:10.515712Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:32.176253Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T15:36:34.868728Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178/will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127162","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.425,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.415,0.435,0.435,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.415,0.415,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.415,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.445,0.425,0.44,0.425,0.425,0.44,0.455,0.465,0.485,0.49,0.44,0.485,0.485,0.43,0.43,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2692516","event_id":"637076","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-1-earthquake-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127163","question":"Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?","group_item_title":"1","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T15:19:58.019988Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":130.04877499999998,"volume_24hr":19.986519,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-61.90878199999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.2744927406311035,"normalized_volume":6.890709400177002,"liquidity":1880.4168,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T07:26:10.515712Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:32.176253Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T15:36:34.868728Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178/will-there-be-exactly-1-earthquake-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127163","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.335,0.335,0.285,0.225,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.315,0.315,0.325,0.325,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.32]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2692517","event_id":"637076","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-2-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127164","question":"Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?","group_item_title":"2","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T15:20:03.140682Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":185.7228,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":-8.399999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.275874376296997,"normalized_volume":7.927830219268799,"liquidity":2196.6958,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T07:26:10.515712Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:32.176253Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T15:36:34.868728Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178/will-there-be-exactly-2-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127164","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.125,0.14,0.145,0.135,0.13,0.135,0.14,0.155,0.17,0.14,0.135,0.135,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.165,0.155,0.165,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.145,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.145,0.155,0.125,0.11,0.12,0.145,0.135,0.135,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.135,0.135,0.125,0.135,0.12,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2692518","event_id":"637076","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-3-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127165","question":"Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?","group_item_title":"3","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T15:20:05.988146Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":74.18,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0049999999999999906,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.275874376296997,"normalized_volume":5.409506320953369,"liquidity":2212.6702,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T07:26:10.515712Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:32.176253Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T15:36:34.868728Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178/will-there-be-exactly-3-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127165","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.065,0.065,0.06,0.06,0.065,0.065,0.07,0.08,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.07,0.08,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.065,0.06,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2692519","event_id":"637076","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-4-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127166","question":"Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?","group_item_title":"4","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T15:20:11.935272Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59.75,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.004,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1346144676208496,"normalized_volume":4.888924598693848,"liquidity":2066.92963,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T07:26:10.515712Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:32.176253Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T15:36:34.868728Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178/will-there-be-exactly-4-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127166","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?","chart_24h":[0.029,0.0295,0.028,0.028,0.0275,0.0275,0.028,0.028,0.0275,0.028,0.0275,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.0275,0.028,0.0275,0.028,0.028,0.029,0.029,0.029,0.029,0.0285,0.029,0.025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2692520","event_id":"637076","slug":"will-there-be-exactly-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127167","question":"Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?","group_item_title":"5","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0205,0.9795],"probability":0.0205,"spread":0.029,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T15:20:17.321883Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":231.207399,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0045000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1346144676208496,"normalized_volume":8.602577209472656,"liquidity":2020.16848,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T07:26:10.515712Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:32.176253Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T15:36:34.868728Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178/will-there-be-exactly-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127167","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?","chart_24h":[0.016,0.017,0.016,0.017,0.0175,0.017,0.0175,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.0175,0.017,0.023,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225,0.0225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2692521","event_id":"637076","slug":"will-there-be-more-than-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127168","question":"Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?","group_item_title":">5","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0065,0.9935],"probability":0.0065,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T15:20:20.376098Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":610.2754,"volume_24hr":255.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.006000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":207.33679999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.867253303527832,"normalized_volume":11.93110466003418,"liquidity":3711.1774,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T07:26:10.515712Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T07:24:32.176253Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T15:36:34.868728Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-29-july-5-20260626145126178/will-there-be-more-than-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-from-june-29-july-5-20260626145127168","event_title":"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?","chart_24h":[0.0125,0.0135,0.012,0.013,0.0135,0.012,0.0135,0.012,0.012,0.0135,0.012,0.013,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.007,0.007,0.0065,0.0065,0.0065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/637076","as_of":"2026-07-01T07:38:36.167910Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?\" — top market at 1% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}