{"source":"polymarket","id":"642119","ticker":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11","title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Paddy Pimblett\" if Paddy Pimblett is officially declared the winner of the fight against Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Benoît Saint Denis\" if Benoît Saint Denis is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:02:05.656427Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1655.836732,"volume_24hr":1655.8367320000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.4171199798584,"normalized_volume":11.420366287231445,"liquidity":5752.7383,"open_interest":1379.100034,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","top_outcome_probability":0.51,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-28T20:48:59.229850Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T20:48:59.229850Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.920102Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11","chart_24h":[0.0,6.0,45.310342000000006,45.310342000000006,70.74559500000001,70.74559500000001,624.7651460000001,624.7651460000001,722.852916,722.852916,798.617729,798.617729,798.617729,798.617729,798.617729,798.617729,798.617729,816.0329,816.0329,816.0329,894.517639,894.517639,894.517639,925.5176389999999,995.2850769999999,995.2850769999999,1092.5050769999998,1131.373094,1655.8367320000002,1655.8367320000002,1655.8367320000002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712859","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11","question":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","group_item_title":"Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis","description":"This market will resolve to \"Paddy Pimblett\" if Paddy Pimblett is officially declared the winner of the fight against Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Benoît Saint Denis\" if Benoît Saint Denis is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Paddy Pimblett","Benoît Saint Denis"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:09:45.819205Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1713.976265,"volume_24hr":1713.9762650000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":1713.9762650000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.590497970581055,"normalized_volume":15.373018264770508,"liquidity":5469.8852,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T20:49:53.097871Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T20:48:59.241166Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.605,0.445,0.425,0.42,0.42,0.425,0.425,0.52,0.45,0.435,0.43,0.465,0.445,0.44,0.425,0.425,0.435,0.435,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712864","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Paddy Pimblett and Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:02:06.664900Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":46.4577,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T20:49:33.075963Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T20:48:59.241166Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712861","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Paddy Pimblett and Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:02:23.445723Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15.1697,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T02:34:10.194719Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T02:34:10.194719Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712868","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-pimblett-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Pimblett to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Paddy Pimblett defeats Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:02:26.226825Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.1693,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T20:34:37.878534Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T20:34:02.254746Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-pimblett-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712870","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-saint-denis-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Saint Denis to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Benoît Saint Denis defeats Paddy Pimblett at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:02:05.656427Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.2189,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T20:34:37.878534Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T20:34:02.254746Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-saint-denis-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.515,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712871","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Paddy Pimblett and Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:02:19.446518Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.3362,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T19:52:59.516872Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T19:52:22.094814Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712874","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Paddy Pimblett and Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:02:11.555509Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":35.8456,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-27T23:08:14.196408Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712876","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Paddy Pimblett and Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:18:51.647370Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":5.51,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-27T23:08:14.196408Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712877","event_id":"642119","slug":"ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Paddy Pimblett and Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:03:42.455620Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15.8896,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-27T23:08:14.196408Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/642119","as_of":"2026-06-28T20:53:53.676681Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)\" — top market at 42% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}