{"source":"polymarket","id":"642157","ticker":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11","title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Gable Steveson\" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Elisha Ellison\" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:04:23.085971Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1406.200108,"volume_24hr":1406.200108,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.81126594543457,"normalized_volume":10.931097030639648,"liquidity":3873.345,"open_interest":1390.280108,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison","top_outcome_probability":0.954,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.45899999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1406.200108,"updated_at":"2026-06-28T11:07:09.928200Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T11:07:09.928200Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.920102Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,38.20416,38.20416,38.20416,38.20416,38.20416,38.20416,38.20416,38.20416,38.20416,38.20416,1406.200108,1406.200108,1406.200108,1406.200108,1406.200108,1406.200108],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712984","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11","question":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","group_item_title":"Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison","description":"This market will resolve to \"Gable Steveson\" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Elisha Ellison\" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Gable Steveson","Elisha Ellison"],"outcome_prices":[0.954,0.046],"probability":0.954,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:12:45.311533Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1406.200108,"volume_24hr":1406.200108,"prob_24h_change":0.45899999999999996,"volume_24h_change":1406.200108,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.72928810119629,"normalized_volume":14.567245483398438,"liquidity":3296.64533,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T09:18:20.104082Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T09:17:56.811266Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5,0.93,0.955,0.9645,0.97,0.965,0.945,0.949,0.954]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712988","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:14:09.941405Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":42.4752,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T10:41:00.009043Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T10:40:37.298168Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712990","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-steveson-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Gable Steveson win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Steveson to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Gable Steveson defeats Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:17:12.219639Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":42.4094,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T11:07:36.774201Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T11:07:09.990630Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-steveson-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712994","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:11:29.897454Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":42.4633,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T11:07:36.774201Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T11:07:09.990630Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712996","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.93,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:08:40.031604Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":34.0721,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T09:44:03.478216Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T09:43:37.511097Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712986","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:04:47.634596Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7.8754,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T02:34:10.194719Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T02:34:10.194719Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712992","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-ellison-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Elisha Ellison win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Ellison to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Elisha Ellison defeats Gable Steveson at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:07:38.535547Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":41.2224,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T10:41:00.009043Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T10:40:37.298168Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-ellison-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.505,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2712998","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:04:23.085971Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15.7795,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T09:44:03.478216Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T09:43:37.511097Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2713000","event_id":"642157","slug":"ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-27T22:10:45.446782Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.2,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-27T23:08:14.196408Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","added_at":"2026-06-27T22:24:18.980246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11/ufc-gsteve-eli10-2026-07-11-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/642157","as_of":"2026-06-28T11:13:21.365357Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)\" — top market at 95% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}