{"source":"polymarket","id":"648180","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-1-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-1-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:00:14Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17953.113588000004,"volume_24hr":17950.113588000007,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.69379997253418,"normalized_volume":19.801746368408203,"liquidity":34774.1103,"open_interest":13368.471821,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.605,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":17917.826531000006,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T22:25:20.784531Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T22:25:20.784531Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T16:04:20.728596Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-1-2026","chart_24h":[3.0,32.287057000000004,35.287057000000004,38.287057000000004,38.287057000000004,51.228232000000006,56.228232000000006,56.228232000000006,66.228232,74.169407,85.169407,88.11058200000001,101.20862000000001,109.14979500000001,117.09097000000001,117.09097000000001,117.09097000000001,117.09097000000001,117.09097000000001,125.09097000000001,125.09097000000001,156.850584,206.850584,1736.999014,2899.7205,10470.661921,11289.612238999998,11818.697893999999,12123.477138999999,13136.792170999997,15118.208134999997,16377.820576999999,17009.846213,17424.350465,17542.428538,17707.539563000006],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731202","event_id":"648180","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-1-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.605,0.395],"probability":0.605,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:00:14Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17953.113588000004,"volume_24hr":17950.113588000007,"prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":17917.826531000006,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.33415985107422,"normalized_volume":27.81195640563965,"liquidity":35384.7224,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T22:26:26.503125Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T22:25:21.016946Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T16:04:20.765686Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-1-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-1-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.49,0.495,0.505,0.485,0.475,0.525,0.495,0.505,0.525,0.565,0.605,0.625,0.595,0.595,0.565]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/648180","as_of":"2026-06-30T22:27:35.167715Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?\" — top market at 60% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}