{"source":"polymarket","id":"648184","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4","title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:30:37.438966Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1865.78366,"volume_24hr":1865.78366,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.170198440551758,"normalized_volume":11.40420150756836,"liquidity":82034.54803,"open_interest":6228.654039999999,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"40-64","top_outcome_probability":0.44,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":273.43993600000005,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:25.187964Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:25.187964Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.852412Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4","chart_24h":[5.01,695.04,756.6,798.82,1171.17,1192.67,1192.67,1192.67,1648.5422839999999,1648.5422839999999,1665.78366],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731211","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-40-64","question":"Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"40-64","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T17:07:28.002998Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":273.43993600000005,"volume_24hr":273.43993600000005,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":273.43993600000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.952231407165527,"normalized_volume":9.178671836853027,"liquidity":8974.2904,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T22:45:52.860294Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T22:45:00.742551Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-40-64","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.415,0.375,0.38,0.455,0.43,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731214","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-65-89","question":"Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"65-89","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:30:37.438966Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":309.78234799999996,"volume_24hr":309.78234799999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":309.78234799999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.442765235900879,"normalized_volume":9.589770317077637,"liquidity":3016.0263,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:50.124125Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:25.291021Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-65-89","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.315,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731208","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-0-39","question":"Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"<40","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T17:06:54.492084Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":209.461376,"volume_24hr":209.461376,"prob_24h_change":-0.295,"volume_24h_change":209.461376,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.941198348999023,"normalized_volume":8.331360816955566,"liquidity":1564.1812,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:50.124125Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:25.291021Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-0-39","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.245,0.14,0.145,0.145,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731222","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-90-114","question":"Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"90-114","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:30:43.620541Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":88.06,"volume_24hr":88.06,"prob_24h_change":-0.42,"volume_24h_change":88.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.00170373916626,"normalized_volume":5.867876052856445,"liquidity":10129.256,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:50.124125Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:25.291021Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-90-114","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.37,0.12,0.105,0.075,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731228","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-140-164","question":"Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"140-164","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T18:00:18.889046Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.312623977661133,"normalized_volume":5.290383338928223,"liquidity":10666.13187,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:50.124125Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:25.291021Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-140-164","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0255,0.0255,0.0255,0.006,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731234","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-165-189","question":"Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"165-189","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:39:27.317283Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.01,"volume_24hr":40.01,"prob_24h_change":-0.023999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.791651725769043,"normalized_volume":4.015710830688477,"liquidity":11364.67875,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:50.124125Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:25.291021Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-165-189","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0255,0.0255,0.002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731240","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-190-214","question":"Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"190-214","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T17:25:01.888904Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.00999999999999,"volume_24hr":70.00999999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.023999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":29.999999999999993,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.3130412101745605,"normalized_volume":5.2907328605651855,"liquidity":10309.973,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T20:23:48.672749Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T20:22:15.705870Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-190-214","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0255,0.006,0.002,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731244","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-215-239","question":"Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"215-239","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T17:56:13.710458Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35.01,"volume_24hr":35.01,"prob_24h_change":-0.028499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.462017059326172,"normalized_volume":3.7394559383392334,"liquidity":14498.13154,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:42:37.204629Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:42:21.557125Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-215-239","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.0055,0.002,0.002,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2731248","event_id":"648184","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-240plus","question":"Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"240+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0315,0.9685],"probability":0.0315,"spread":0.031,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:50:07.799496Z","end_date":"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.40349999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":4298.13469,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:50.124125Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T00:19:25.291021Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T18:14:06.948914Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-2-july-4-115-139","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.0305,0.0355,0.0375,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0325]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/648184","as_of":"2026-06-30T00:22:10.667695Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?\" — top market at 0% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}