{"source":"polymarket","id":"648852","ticker":"closest-governors-race-20260629182258067","slug":"closest-governors-race-20260629182258067","title":"Closest Governor's Race?","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/closest-governors-race-20260629182250028-AtQx_-mWYsiM.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/closest-governors-race-20260629182250028-AtQx_-mWYsiM.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:05:28.192665Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":327.44,"volume_24hr":327.44,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.675793647766113,"normalized_volume":6.951243877410889,"liquidity":4688.1333,"open_interest":327.44,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"176","slug":"us-elections","label":"us elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alaska","top_outcome_probability":0.44,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:26:18.778117Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:26:18.778117Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.271099Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,198.84,327.44,327.44,327.44,327.44,327.44,327.44,327.44,327.44,327.44,327.44,327.44],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735243","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-kansas-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250934","question":"Will Kansas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Kansas","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:12:31.749019Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62.53,"volume_24hr":62.53,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":62.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.987659931182861,"normalized_volume":5.012063503265381,"liquidity":263.0787,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T03:51:42.836984Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T03:51:26.849043Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-kansas-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250934","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.22,0.425,0.42,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735247","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-ohio-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250938","question":"Will Ohio have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Ohio","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. 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Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.78,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:05:28.192665Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":47.33,"volume_24hr":47.33,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":47.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.224826335906982,"normalized_volume":4.37352180480957,"liquidity":285.9649,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T04:06:49.988945Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T04:06:30.458185Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-michigan-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250937","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.22,0.425,0.415,0.41,0.4]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735245","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-wisconsin-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250936","question":"Will Wisconsin have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Wisconsin","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:41:21.963038Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":36.0,"volume_24hr":36.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":36.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.529807090759277,"normalized_volume":3.791745185852051,"liquidity":264.6895,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-wisconsin-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250936","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.365,0.365,0.37,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735253","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-vermont-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250944","question":"Will Vermont have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Vermont","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. 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Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.68],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.62,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:25:26.606485Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22.0,"volume_24hr":22.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":22.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.4155173301696777,"normalized_volume":2.859011650085449,"liquidity":74.7802,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T23:32:09.794543Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T23:31:45.832726Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-arizona-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250931","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.32]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735241","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-texas-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250932","question":"Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:21:40.890273Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23.27,"volume_24hr":23.27,"prob_24h_change":-0.22,"volume_24h_change":23.27,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.53361439704895,"normalized_volume":2.957866668701172,"liquidity":288.3779,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-texas-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250932","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.22,0.36,0.42,0.225,0.225,0.23,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735237","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-alaska-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250928","question":"Will Alaska have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:14:06.833383Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":246.9562,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-alaska-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250928","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735239","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-new-mexico-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250930","question":"Will New Mexico have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"New Mexico","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:17:08.191991Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":247.653,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-new-mexico-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250930","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735242","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-colorado-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250933","question":"Will Colorado have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Colorado","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:07:25.181301Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":240.966,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-colorado-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250933","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735244","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-minnesota-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250935","question":"Will Minnesota have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:31:00.148509Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":247.6593,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-minnesota-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250935","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735248","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-iowa-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250939","question":"Will Iowa have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:25:10.073596Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":241.4972,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T04:06:49.988945Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T04:06:30.458185Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-iowa-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250939","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735249","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-maine-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250940","question":"Will Maine have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Maine","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:25:35.786428Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":248.4586,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T04:40:26.201613Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T04:39:50.096289Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-maine-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250940","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735250","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-new-hampshire-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250941","question":"Will New Hampshire have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:47:40.284646Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":245.1038,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-new-hampshire-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250941","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735251","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-florida-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250942","question":"Will Florida have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Florida","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:08:26.181672Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":240.2433,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-florida-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250942","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.445,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735254","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-nevada-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250945","question":"Will Nevada have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Nevada","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:22:08.281626Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":239.7279,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-nevada-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250945","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2735252","event_id":"648852","slug":"will-georgia-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250943","question":"Will Georgia have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nIf two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T20:43:20.737412Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":246.5209,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:11:06.005171Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:10:45.944415Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T20:54:29.300949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/closest-governors-race-20260629182258067/will-georgia-have-the-closest-governors-race-in-2026-20260629182250943","event_title":"Closest Governor's Race?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.435]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/648852","as_of":"2026-06-30T05:26:51.029719Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Closest Governor's Race?\" — top market at 40% probability across 18 outcomes","source_url":null}}