{"source":"polymarket","id":"651920","ticker":"nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-margin-of-victory-20260629215835381","slug":"nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-margin-of-victory-20260629215835381","title":"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Margin of Victory","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the Men’s 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Contest.\n\nIf the Men’s 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Contest is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the MLE; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nathans-250-a9e1f90fdb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nathans-250-a9e1f90fdb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T16:05:38.404116Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":5405.198,"volume_24hr":5005.198,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.135482788085938,"normalized_volume":15.151822090148926,"liquidity":3182.38185,"open_interest":3831.9590000000003,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"105504","slug":"major-league-eating","label":"Major League Eating"},{"id":"102276","slug":"nathans-famous-hot-dog","label":"Nathan's Famous Hot Dog"},{"id":"102349","slug":"nathans-hot-dog-contest","label":"Nathan's Hot Dog Contest"},{"id":"102351","slug":"nathans-hot-dog-eating-contest","label":"Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest"},{"id":"102357","slug":"july-4","label":"July 4"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"10-15 HDBs","top_outcome_probability":0.9995,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.7095,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3801.01,"updated_at":"2026-07-05T02:56:14.883708Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T02:56:14.883708Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T16:18:40.192740Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-margin-of-victory-20260629215835381","chart_24h":[400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,400.0,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,444.15,934.2,934.2,534.2,952.698,1176.198,1196.198,4775.198,5005.198,5005.198,5005.198,5005.198],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2744449","event_id":"651920","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-2026-nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-be-10pt25-15-hdbs-20260629215835383","question":"Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be 10-15 HDBs?","group_item_title":"10-15 HDBs","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the Men’s 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Contest.\n\nIf the Men’s 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Contest is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the MLE; 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however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T16:06:18.642472Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T19:57:56.546296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T16:18:40.405611Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T16:18:40.405611Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-margin-of-victory-20260629215835381/will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-2026-nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-be-range-a-20260629215835387","event_title":"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2744454","event_id":"651920","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-2026-nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-be-something-else-20260629215835388","question":"Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be something else?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the Men’s 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Contest.\n\nIf the Men’s 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Contest is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official information from the MLE; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T16:06:18.903381Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T19:57:56.546296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T16:18:40.405611Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T16:18:40.405611Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-margin-of-victory-20260629215835381/will-the-margin-of-victory-at-the-2026-nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-be-something-else-20260629215835388","event_title":"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/651920","as_of":"2026-07-05T03:17:20.948701Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Margin of Victory\" — top market at 100% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}