{"source":"polymarket","id":"652098","ticker":"where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303","slug":"where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303","title":"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the specified weather station on June 10, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “specified station” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.\n\nTrace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.\n\nIf the relevant data is not made available by July 12, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:18:53.595728Z","end_date":"2026-07-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6107.168002,"volume_24hr":5452.801920000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.735383987426758,"normalized_volume":15.627197265625,"liquidity":233.8259,"open_interest":543.858251,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"102357","slug":"july-4","label":"July 4"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"105521","slug":"4th-of-july","label":"4th of July"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Boston","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.034999999999999976,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:05:42.367591Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:05:42.367591Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.058118Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303","chart_24h":[104.366082,104.366082,124.366082,144.366082,144.366082,144.366082,144.366082,144.366082,144.366082,144.366082,144.366082,144.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,103.366082,94.136082,94.136082,94.136082,84.906082,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,637.559013,4017.002611000001,5452.801920000002,5452.801920000002,5452.801920000002,5452.801920000002,5452.801920000002,5452.801920000002,5452.801920000002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2745544","event_id":"652098","slug":"will-it-rain-in-boston-on-june-10-20260629190141280","question":"Will it rain in Boston on July 4?","group_item_title":"Boston","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Boston Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Boston Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=box link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.\n\nTrace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.\n\nIf the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.88,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:19:10.023809Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":120.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.034999999999999976,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.3675031661987305,"normalized_volume":6.615091323852539,"liquidity":10.3614,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T13:51:05.410051Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T13:50:08.431909Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.078861Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303/will-it-rain-in-boston-on-june-10-20260629190141280","event_title":"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?","chart_24h":[0.465,0.465,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.705,0.685,0.725,0.735,0.7,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2745543","event_id":"652098","slug":"will-it-rain-in-san-francisco-on-june-10-20260629190141279","question":"Will it rain in San Francisco on July 4?","group_item_title":"San Francisco","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in San Francisco, CA on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “San Francisco City, CA” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.\n\nTrace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.\n\nIf the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:18:53.595728Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":68.830369,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-28.830368999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.3675031661987305,"normalized_volume":5.185486316680908,"liquidity":15.1771,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T13:19:30.144266Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:59:49.925294Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.078861Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303/will-it-rain-in-san-francisco-on-june-10-20260629190141279","event_title":"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.46,0.455,0.46,0.465,0.5,0.485,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.495,0.485,0.475,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2745547","event_id":"652098","slug":"will-it-rain-in-washington-dptcpt-on-june-10-20260629190931787","question":"Will it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?","group_item_title":"Washington D.C.","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Washington Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Washington Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.\n\nTrace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.\n\nIf the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.455,0.545],"probability":0.455,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:19:10.799323Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5432.80192,"volume_24hr":5412.801920000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":5412.801920000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.84935760498047,"normalized_volume":21.274147033691406,"liquidity":40.3608,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:37.102998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:05:42.562608Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.078861Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303/will-it-rain-in-washington-dptcpt-on-june-10-20260629190931787","event_title":"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?","chart_24h":[0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.485,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.51,0.485,0.485,0.46,0.465,0.455,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2745546","event_id":"652098","slug":"will-it-rain-in-new-york-city-on-june-10-20260629190931786","question":"Will it rain in New York City on July 4?","group_item_title":"New York City","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the NY-Central Park Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “NY-Central Park Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.\n\nTrace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.\n\nIf the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.82,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:19:01.613505Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":12.8577,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:37.102998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:05:42.562608Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.078861Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303/will-it-rain-in-new-york-city-on-june-10-20260629190931786","event_title":"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.5,0.49,0.495,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.515,0.505,0.515,0.515,0.51,0.5,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2745541","event_id":"652098","slug":"will-it-rain-in-dallas-on-june-10-20260629190141277","question":"Will it rain in Dallas on July 4?","group_item_title":"Dallas","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.\n\nTrace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.\n\nIf the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.64,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:18:54.632818Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":180.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.17500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":-40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.772684097290039,"liquidity":41.0677,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:37.102998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:05:42.562608Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.078861Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303/will-it-rain-in-dallas-on-june-10-20260629190141277","event_title":"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?","chart_24h":[0.225,0.225,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.435,0.455,0.43,0.46,0.475,0.475,0.46,0.475,0.455,0.475,0.47,0.465,0.465,0.47,0.47,0.475,0.48,0.485,0.475,0.485,0.475,0.475,0.465,0.485,0.475,0.475,0.47,0.465,0.465,0.505,0.31,0.4,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2745542","event_id":"652098","slug":"will-it-rain-in-atlanta-on-june-10-20260629190141278","question":"Will it rain in Atlanta on July 4?","group_item_title":"Atlanta","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Atlanta Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Atlanta Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ffc link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.\n\nTrace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.\n\nIf the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.265,0.735],"probability":0.265,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:19:06.923361Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":165.535713,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-15.535713,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.525620460510254,"liquidity":81.9705,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:37.102998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T11:59:48.264428Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.078861Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303/will-it-rain-in-atlanta-on-june-10-20260629190141278","event_title":"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?","chart_24h":[0.275,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.265,0.25,0.245,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.265,0.265,0.27,0.265,0.28,0.265,0.265,0.26,0.265,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2745545","event_id":"652098","slug":"will-it-rain-in-denver-on-june-10-20260629190141281","question":"Will it rain in Denver on July 4?","group_item_title":"Denver","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Denver Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Denver Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.\n\nTrace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.\n\nIf the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-june-9-Ao9lOxAH7Tq0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:18:59.547707Z","end_date":"2026-07-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":140.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.255,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.043818950653076,"liquidity":66.0497,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T14:06:37.102998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T14:05:42.562608Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.078861Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629192131303/will-it-rain-in-denver-on-june-10-20260629190141281","event_title":"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.49,0.5,0.515,0.515,0.305,0.325,0.27,0.185,0.12,0.215,0.5,0.515]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/652098","as_of":"2026-07-03T14:11:42.165734Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?\" — top market at 46% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}