{"source":"polymarket","id":"652125","ticker":"will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-by-december-31-20260630142749586","slug":"will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-by-december-31-20260630142749586","title":"Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. \n\nServices which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. \n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-in-2025-69hHqKmtUqHL.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-in-2025-69hHqKmtUqHL.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:25:52.834908Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7267.111669999999,"volume_24hr":10.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.4705917835235596,"normalized_volume":17.986087799072266,"liquidity":3283.5066,"open_interest":2175.928313,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"728","slug":"tesla","label":"Tesla"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.215,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-33.18205,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T11:05:53.413158Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T11:05:53.413158Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.058118Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-by-december-31-20260630142749586","chart_24h":[43.18205,43.18205,43.18205,43.18205,43.18205,43.18205,43.18205,43.18205,43.18205,41.28205,41.28205,41.28205,41.28205,41.28205,41.28205,41.28205,41.28205,41.28205,0.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2745579","event_id":"652125","slug":"will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-by-december-31-20260630142749586","question":"Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. \n\nServices which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. \n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-in-2025-69hHqKmtUqHL.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-in-2025-69hHqKmtUqHL.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T17:25:52.834908Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7267.111669999999,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-33.18205,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.536438226699829,"normalized_volume":23.193912506103516,"liquidity":3303.3066,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T11:05:54.396862Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T11:05:54.396862Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T17:36:58.078861Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-by-december-31-20260630142749586/will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-by-december-31-20260630142749586","event_title":"Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.215]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/652125","as_of":"2026-09-08T11:25:54.883431Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?\" — top market at 22% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}