{"source":"polymarket","id":"652601","ticker":"cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522","slug":"cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522","title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/cxmt-ipo-by-20260629164309096-H0fL3cwvFWEE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/cxmt-ipo-by-20260629164309096-H0fL3cwvFWEE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:45:35.578836Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1139.494583,"volume_24hr":1009.5745830000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.702913284301758,"normalized_volume":10.192351341247559,"liquidity":446.52774,"open_interest":775.529579,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"400B+ yuan","top_outcome_probability":0.655,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.23500000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":283.54,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T07:44:39.809441Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:44:39.809441Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.667222Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522","chart_24h":[129.92000000000002,129.92000000000002,129.92000000000002,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,35.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,755.654583,944.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,964.5745830000001,984.5745830000001,984.5745830000001,1009.5745830000001,1009.5745830000001,1009.5745830000001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747025","event_id":"652601","slug":"will-cxmts-market-cap-be-400-billion-yuan-or-greater-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331529","question":"Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"400B+ yuan","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.655,0.345],"probability":0.655,"spread":0.57,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:46:04.736284Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":283.53999999999996,"volume_24hr":283.54,"prob_24h_change":0.23500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":283.54,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.60114574432373,"normalized_volume":9.185840606689453,"liquidity":41.7267,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T07:45:35.299042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:44:40.210690Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.690836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522/will-cxmts-market-cap-be-400-billion-yuan-or-greater-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331529","event_title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","chart_24h":[0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.455,0.45,0.435,0.455,0.955,0.515,0.525,0.53,0.575,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.705,0.745,0.86,0.645,0.655]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747021","event_id":"652601","slug":"will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-280-billion-and-310-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331525","question":"Will CXMT’s market cap be between 280 billion and 310 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"280–310B yuan","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.402,0.598],"probability":0.402,"spread":0.784,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:45:46.325456Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":85.15305000000001,"volume_24hr":85.15305000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.02799999999999997,"volume_24h_change":85.15305000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.214138507843018,"normalized_volume":5.712187767028809,"liquidity":70.73308,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T07:45:35.299042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:44:40.210690Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.690836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522/will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-280-billion-and-310-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331525","event_title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43,0.425,0.44,0.425,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.435,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.375,0.474,0.03,0.454,0.455,0.4405,0.4285,0.4025,0.4065,0.401,0.4035,0.3895,0.382,0.3625,0.387,0.3855,0.3875,0.4745,0.4315,0.375,0.2955,0.429,0.402]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747022","event_id":"652601","slug":"will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-310-billion-and-340-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331526","question":"Will CXMT’s market cap be between 310 billion and 340 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"310–340B yuan","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:45:49.440493Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.15305000000001,"volume_24hr":65.15305000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":65.15305000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.384195804595947,"normalized_volume":5.055035591125488,"liquidity":62.85,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T07:45:35.299042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:44:40.210690Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.690836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522/will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-310-billion-and-340-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331526","event_title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.46,0.445,0.46,0.45,0.435,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.475,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.445,0.445,0.355,0.345,0.335,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.345,0.34,0.33,0.365,0.45,0.385,0.29,0.395,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747024","event_id":"652601","slug":"will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-370-billion-and-400-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331528","question":"Will CXMT’s market cap be between 370 billion and 400 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"370–400B yuan","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:45:58.727184Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":115.14799999999998,"volume_24hr":115.148,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":115.148,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.213837623596191,"normalized_volume":6.503753662109375,"liquidity":53.62,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T07:45:35.299042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:44:40.210690Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.690836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522/will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-370-billion-and-400-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331528","event_title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.44,0.44,0.445,0.46,0.45,0.445,0.47,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.455,0.45,0.455,0.435,0.45,0.415,0.465,0.455,0.465,0.46,0.46,0.445,0.355,0.34,0.335,0.35,0.335,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.385,0.455,0.38,0.375,0.395,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747026","event_id":"652601","slug":"will-cxmt-not-ipo-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331530","question":"Will CXMT not IPO by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"No IPO by December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.373,0.627],"probability":0.373,"spread":0.726,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:46:10.669669Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":199.92000000000002,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":0.057999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":-59.920000000000016,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.601385593414307,"normalized_volume":8.089387893676758,"liquidity":83.92276,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T07:45:35.299042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:44:40.210690Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.690836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522/will-cxmt-not-ipo-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331530","event_title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","chart_24h":[0.315,0.315,0.315,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.22,0.445,0.03,0.34,0.349,0.3375,0.437,0.3675,0.3335,0.341,0.334,0.3335,0.3365,0.3335,0.3725,0.3415,0.337,0.316,0.2705,0.2345,0.303,0.329,0.373]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747020","event_id":"652601","slug":"will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-250-billion-and-280-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331524","question":"Will CXMT’s market cap be between 250 billion and 280 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"250–280B yuan","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.5,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:45:40.497100Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":158.75585,"volume_24hr":158.75585,"prob_24h_change":-0.185,"volume_24h_change":158.75585,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.352121353149414,"normalized_volume":7.405052185058594,"liquidity":35.48,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T07:41:11.663318Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:40:11.203693Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.690836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522/will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-250-billion-and-280-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331524","event_title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","chart_24h":[0.435,0.465,0.455,0.45,0.44,0.465,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.47,0.445,0.44,0.455,0.365,0.475,0.465,0.455,0.45,0.25,0.25,0.185,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747023","event_id":"652601","slug":"will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-340-billion-and-370-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331527","question":"Will CXMT’s market cap be between 340 billion and 370 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"340–370B yuan","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:45:53.464212Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":70.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.601385593414307,"normalized_volume":5.2270073890686035,"liquidity":84.5591,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T07:45:35.299042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T07:44:40.210690Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.690836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522/will-cxmts-market-cap-be-between-340-billion-and-370-billion-yuan-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2026-20260629165331527","event_title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","chart_24h":[0.44,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.48,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.415,0.464,0.03,0.45,0.468,0.444,0.4125,0.4125,0.41,0.387,0.413,0.4335,0.4465,0.3965,0.4405,0.4505,0.045,0.4055,0.386,0.3515,0.431,0.4285,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747019","event_id":"652601","slug":"untitled-market-1-20260629164348696","question":"Will CXMT’s market cap be less than 250 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"<250B yuan","description":"This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T20:45:35.578836Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":161.824633,"volume_24hr":161.824633,"prob_24h_change":-0.348,"volume_24h_change":161.824633,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.422396659851074,"normalized_volume":7.460696697235107,"liquidity":87.14651,"categories":["Finance","Business"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T06:40:29.469102Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T06:39:12.045982Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T20:55:15.690836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260629165331522/untitled-market-1-20260629164348696","event_title":"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.0105,0.011,0.3505,0.33,0.3325,0.332,0.3295,0.33,0.3115,0.226,0.2245,0.012]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/652601","as_of":"2026-07-03T07:58:58.487973Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap\" — top market at 66% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}